TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$204,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes44c112,979$49,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,622.9429446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No56c89,539$50,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,503.141850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No58c14,616$8,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,211.445046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes44c14,342$6,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,310.542962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No57c13,517$7,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,812.322055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c7,290$4,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,226.482,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c7,236$4,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,867.85,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes45c7,195$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,234.054339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed No56c6,411$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes71c5,419$3,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,842.491,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes44c5,315$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.698153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes9c4,386$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.514570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7602673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No57c3,897$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.623360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes42c2,044$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.0719144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes44c1,670$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.463,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No30c1,655$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.881,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes44c1,368$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.9237851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No20c1,335$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.736823.5%16 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed No27c1,077$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.12944.8%13 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5540…0b5fbacked Yes44c988.87$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.11030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb8…beaabacked No58c867.79$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No55c644.17$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.141,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes43c599.98$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.9911245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c556.34$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.068,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No55c510.58$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.961,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No20c502.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.6984943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No58c420.17$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.475651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No55c376.26$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.325962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No56c350$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.651,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No35c348.59$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.736866.2%45 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c289.25$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.561,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes68c273.39$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.111,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No57c262.93$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2333560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No57c250.88$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0313050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No56c250$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2523551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked No18c247.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.215156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.644542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1142…e972backed Yes44c218.24$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+98.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0777…1f04backed Yes44c218.24$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+98.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No58c213.76$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.781,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf66…3436backed Yes44c211.71$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.153246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No55c183.1$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.433266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No30c172.21$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.61,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No57c164.02$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1917560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No18c161.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6516255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No58c154.45$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.879953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfe…d2d0backed No27c147.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8f…ae52backed Yes71c138.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.26850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No57c133.86$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1536757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c107.35$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.221,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1eb…e9a0backed Yes46c105.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.383135.5%11 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x895c…d405backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes44c96.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.524731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes80c92.83$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1519056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d0…5444backed Yes42c90.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.84520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Yes43c87.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.842544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x628c…3600backed Yes44c87.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No56c87.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.278261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed No21c81.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.13467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No58c79.91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.662,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes80c77.49$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.828158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No58c73.11$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.718763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec7…8c25backed Yes44c65.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes44c64.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.29956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes73c63.1$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.065345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes79c62.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7918859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes76c62.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6194848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No39c60.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9225955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes43c56.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.156342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes75c54.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.462,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605f…425abacked Yes46c52.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No58c52.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.867352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked No28c51.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.912871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+32.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No59c51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9116960.9%103 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes48c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.831,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes27c47.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8710146.5%47 W · 54 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes44c46.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.291850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes44c44.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.333345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No42c43.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.276558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c5a…d48abacked No55c41.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.612100%12 W · 0 L+4.7wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No57c39.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.961,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed No57c38.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.591346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Yes80c37.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.647957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes44c32.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.513041.5%54 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7190…00e7backed No60c32.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.971369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+46.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes42c32.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.623735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2af7…37e2backed No57c30.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.34163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes79c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.724654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd421…8531backed No71c27.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5aa…54c1backed Yes71c27.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed No57c26.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed No56c26.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.383461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed No55c25.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.563873.7%28 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+29.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No57c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.024143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.