South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x909ae13f3bc8e5aa65b128eccf5c0ecb59ca6c9cc3902208b6582520af1ea37a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 2,990$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.72 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 2,643$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.77 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 19c | 670.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 658.42$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.86 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 22c | 492.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 79c | 306.49$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 289.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 200.52$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 67c | 199.61$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 189.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…33b8backed Yes | 35c | 154.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 133.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 66c | 118.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 66c | 100.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 66c | 94.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 60c | 85.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 21c | 67.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 22c | 60.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Yes | 33c | 58.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 50.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 66c | 46.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 66c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 66c | 44.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 66c | 42.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 67c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 78c | 25.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed No | 66c | 23.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 66c | 20.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 66c | 20.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed No | 66c | 18.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 66c | 17.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 66c | 17.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 66c | 17.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 66c | 17.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 66c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -53%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed No | 79c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-04-03?Yes won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.