Lol · resolved market
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x605489b26c66a32d9fe0061a45850ae150c493f780d97ebe7c95e1bd7aca2079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Verdantof Arctic Pandas, Verdant
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,148 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Verdant | 45c | 2,246$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.2 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Arctic Pandas | 55c | 1,927$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.96 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Verdant | 41c | 1,076$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.99 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Verdant | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Arctic Pandas | 59c | 990.41$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.34 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…7353backed Arctic Pandas | 59c | 981.53$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Verdant | 68c | 896.01$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.02 | 1,476 | 48.3%713 W · 763 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Arctic Pandas | 56c | 444$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.64 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Arctic Pandas | 16c | 434.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Verdant | 42c | 394.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.64 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Arctic Pandas | 58c | 322.47$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.03 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Arctic Pandas | 52c | 294.27$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.32 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb8…beaabacked Arctic Pandas | 58c | 281.21$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Verdant | 43c | 231.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 1,441 | 43.4%625 W · 816 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Verdant | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Arctic Pandas | 8c | 197$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,726 | 29.4%507 W · 1,219 L | -124.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Verdant | 48c | 170.52$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc24…037ebacked Verdant | 62c | 162.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Arctic Pandas | 24c | 160.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…c1dcbacked Arctic Pandas | 13c | 155.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Arctic Pandas | 57c | 130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Arctic Pandas | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb86f…da81backed Arctic Pandas | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Verdant | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 595 | 58.3%347 W · 248 L | -29.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Verdant | 42c | 93.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Arctic Pandas | 43c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Verdant | 70c | 77.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Arctic Pandas | 17c | 74.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Arctic Pandas | 58c | 54.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0a…3a55backed Arctic Pandas | 58c | 51.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Arctic Pandas | 59c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 398 | 56.5%225 W · 173 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Arctic Pandas | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Verdant | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Arctic Pandas | 33c | 44.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Verdant | 66c | 41.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Verdant | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Verdant | 50c | 36.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 282 | 46.5%131 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Arctic Pandas | 59c | 34.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Arctic Pandas | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 465 | 60%279 W · 186 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arctic Pandas | 58c | 28.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee5…a679backed Arctic Pandas | 39c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Arctic Pandas | 52c | 26.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arctic Pandas | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Arctic Pandas | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Verdant | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8238…fcb9backed Arctic Pandas | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Arctic Pandas | 59c | 19.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffsthis page
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Verdant - Game 2 WinnerVerdant won
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Verdant - Game 3 WinnerVerdant won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.