TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,815,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,106,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,815,442 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,033 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers40c201,911$80,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,694.187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks60c128,715$77,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,360.52,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed 76ers42c100,000$42,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,999.9117031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7b6c…6305backed Knicks58c79,492$46,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,105.437941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed 76ers39c67,012$26,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,877.059263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Knicks61c50,000$30,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,5001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Knicks60c42,009$25,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,405.3851350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed 76ers42c35,750$15,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,73537539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks60c35,380$21,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,231.682,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Knicks58c34,701$20,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,126.5848347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked 76ers43c32,010$13,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,357.5819150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed 76ers42c30,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,399.9548343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Knicks58c29,942$17,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,356.4223245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Knicks58c26,500$15,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,37021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed 76ers42c25,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,599.9819048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks12c20,090$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.751,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks59c19,007$11,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,195.932,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers69c18,196$12,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,600.665,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks23c16,507$3,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,721.471,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks58c16,161$9,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,343.621,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Knicks58c15,000$8,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,77021450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Knicks0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed 76ers43c15,000$6,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,62017861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Knicks13c14,862$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.8781529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked 76ers44c14,003$6,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,841.8614853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Knicks27c13,351$3,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,554.321,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks58c12,786$7,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,416.151,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks39c12,336$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,749.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed 76ers40c12,067$4,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,208.3426544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Knicks58c11,750$6,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8157468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Knicks59c11,110$6,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,554.7936741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Knicks61c10,556$6,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,422.8825546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks27c10,506$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.372,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers61c10,244$6,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,996.493,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed 76ers41c10,179$4,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,991.8121538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Knicks60c10,000$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0209343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed 76ers43c9,936$4,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,653.2376746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers59c9,445$5,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,887.544,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Knicks1c9,102$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.798820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Knicks59c9,065$5,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,32344648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Knicks39c8,462$3,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,274.2616335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks50c8,048$4,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,024.032,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Knicks29c7,673$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.1461939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Knicks60c7,500$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Knicks58c7,196$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,140.4230947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Knicks58c7,000$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,06013148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed 76ers39c6,907$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,213.265156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Knicks15c6,876$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.649640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Knicks56c6,833$3,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,828.1415247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked 76ers43c6,799$2,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,842.4314243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1161…7897backed Knicks59c6,500$3,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,834.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf97e…da44backed 76ers40c6,416$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,854.36887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+70.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers39c6,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6602,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks25c5,984$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.711,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked 76ers38c5,947$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,676.1134456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Knicks27c5,905$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.713339.1%52 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed 76ers39c5,807$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,542.316339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58d4…08d2backed Knicks59c5,785$3,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,413.081850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53f7…003fbacked 76ers38c5,013$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,091.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Knicks2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks57c4,918$2,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,803.3978445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers39c4,659$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.294,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db4…9f0ebacked Knicks10c4,600$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf77…bae9backed Knicks60c4,399$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.035137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed 76ers49c4,389$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.9985344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Knicks57c4,350$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.519351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Knicks0c4,111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.211,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Knicks47c4,102$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.3112843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers41c4,023$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.734,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked 76ers38c4,000$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,49095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed 76ers41c3,777$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.6111244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Knicks28c3,766$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.4739744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cca…6143backed 76ers78c3,587$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.441550.1%208 W · 207 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Knicks57c3,500$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99512143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Knicks22c3,438$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.5450838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed 76ers39c3,333$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.1376850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed 76ers62c3,333$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.5328241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed 76ers52c3,327$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.827865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Knicks61c3,131$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.5913260.6%80 W · 52 L+14.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Knicks8c3,105$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Knicks23c3,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed 76ers43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7101,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Knicks37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1104327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7a…725cbacked 76ers64c2,969$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.792369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Knicks62c2,903$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.633844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed 76ers70c2,870$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.8838046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Knicks60c2,860$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.121,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Knicks24c2,850$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.9937944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed 76ers41c2,800$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.12,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks40c2,570$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.363,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked 76ers41c2,568$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.359552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Knicks33c2,563$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.2334227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x494e…c549backed Knicks60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011836.4%43 W · 75 L-12.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed 76ers42c2,500$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.7175347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc127…66e9backed 76ers41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47511657.8%67 W · 49 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed 76ers40c2,482$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.7138649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks58c2,477$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Knicks61c2,377$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45028742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Knicks61c2,337$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.0536950.1%185 W · 184 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.