NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf655b7db04cb163c2e97ede2173a1c2064da325d1d5175f2891b5057005a9a44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 19,813$9,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,606.12 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 8,909$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,632.46 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 48c | 6,938$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.78 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 6,434$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 5,626$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 3,132$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.32 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 2,750$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 48c | 2,056$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 1,759$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.08 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Under | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 971.99$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.71 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 959.62$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.81 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 799.99$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 25c | 697.51$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.41 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Over | 48c | 695.35$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.58 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…4c9ebacked Under | 52c | 555.97$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Over | 49c | 543.73$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.3 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 370$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.4 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 48c | 277$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 260$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 47c | 245.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…ad17backed Under | 53c | 236.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 179.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff21…391fbacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 54c | 96.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Over | 51c | 94.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Under | 50c | 79.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…fbfbbacked Over | 48c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 46c | 51.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Under | 53c | 37.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Under | 52c | 31.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 30.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…c148backed Under | 50c | 30.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9b…c789backed Under | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8b…b116backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 47c | 26.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…a93fbacked Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 49c | 21.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Knicks76ers won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.