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NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Knicks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,702
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$214,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,702 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers48c67,729$32,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,218.9587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Knicks52c57,694$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0005541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks51c25,434$12,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,936.851,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed 76ers51c21,000$10,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,18520744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed 76ers51c19,134$9,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,404.1610158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed 76ers48c16,752$8,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,7119263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed 76ers48c11,000$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,72016339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks51c10,915$5,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,590.962,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks49c9,642$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,713.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Knicks52c9,200$4,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,782.42,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks48c8,115$3,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,892.92,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1601,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9401,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Knicks49c5,306$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60012341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers52c4,693$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.641,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Knicks52c4,600$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3923661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks51c4,339$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.562,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed 76ers50c4,024$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.093568.6%24 W · 11 L+6.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Knicks51c3,800$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9381,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed 76ers53c3,731$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.3741553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks47c3,045$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.156,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Knicks52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50025945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers50c2,612$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.122,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Knicks48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed 76ers50c2,143$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.532,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks50c2,096$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.964,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked 76ers53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7916254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Knicks48c1,832$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.362,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks27c1,246$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks48c1,145$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.62,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked 76ers52c1,042$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Knicks48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48092753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Knicks50c1,000$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4958739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Knicks48c999.97$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9849142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed 76ers52c904$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.922,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked 76ers50c799.07$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.3857250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e1…88d4backed 76ers52c655.77$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.77850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Knicks49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks47c573.51$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.72,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Knicks51c554$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.5485147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Knicks48c521.15$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Knicks51c499$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5644648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed 76ers51c400$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19852844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf416…eca5backed 76ers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Knicks48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19228751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed 76ers52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6215052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked 76ers54c365.04$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4935447.7%169 W · 185 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers66c363.98$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.163,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks4c348.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.941,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed 76ers49c283.67$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.673148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Knicks53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014054.3%76 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Knicks52c240.38$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Knicks48c205.72$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.751,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Knicks50c202.56$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.188549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcbc…71c1backed Knicks47c202.23$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.053050%15 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Knicks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bae…7e8cbacked Knicks49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Knicks51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed 76ers52c190.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.381,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Knicks38c188.12$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8263745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Knicks50c162.71$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9865950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked 76ers53c160$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9448054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Knicks23c139.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.491,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Knicks52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks54c121.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed 76ers52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3811440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed 76ers51c107.04$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9689050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Knicks53c103.87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556654.5%36 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed 76ers49c100.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0650653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed 76ers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4895548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Knicks52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5237850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked 76ers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5017349.1%85 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Knicks47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479845.9%45 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked 76ers51c99.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9537357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks48c99.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.832,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed 76ers52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1533246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce1…5555backed Knicks52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Knicks49c78.39$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4115348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed 76ers61c73.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Knicks52c72.12$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.538347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed 76ers50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3519254.7%105 W · 87 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Knicks53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Knicks49c61.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3093849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed Knicks52c60.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.248347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers68c58.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.682,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8a…4de3backed 76ers52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.693342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed 76ers54c51.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8562546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked 76ers50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed 76ers52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0832750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Knicks52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked 76ers67c47.93$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0288845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde2d…abbabacked Knicks48c45.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.841471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers45c43.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.85,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9955…6c20backed Knicks49c42.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110149.5%50 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb7…951dbacked 76ers50c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.53237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked 76ers52c40.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6421646.3%100 W · 116 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa296…ab9ebacked Knicks49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed 76ers52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.29162.6%57 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked 76ers50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f60…f897backed Knicks52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.