NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2c00e2be7b453b5e33900d4b9b2215d43084c6096f09b7a18663ac36ea39479
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Knicks, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…1b96backed 76ers | 54c | 4,341$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.86 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6905…e3c2backed 76ers | 55c | 3,958$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Knicks | 47c | 2,914$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.99 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 45c | 2,785$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 45c | 2,090$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed 76ers | 53c | 1,214$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.58 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 58c | 1,002$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…1a1abacked Knicks | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed 76ers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Knicks | 43c | 352$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Knicks | 45c | 297.92$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…3ee8backed Knicks | 48c | 208.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked 76ers | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Knicks | 46c | 60.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed 76ers | 57c | 52.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed 76ers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 76ers | 54c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed 76ers | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 57c | 18.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Knicks76ers won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.