TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9955…6c20

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Earnings, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10149.5%50 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$42.29
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.31
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$28.72
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.36
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.57
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.42
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$34.34
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.56
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.62
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.07
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$7.62
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.57
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$12.76
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.62
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick76cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$38.98
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.56
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$55.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: Team to Advancebacked RSC Anderlecht · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.