Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd2b1cef0a1dc292f63116b87c2e1d3875643662d0caf35202459523f9378d0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $682,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $717,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $682,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07bd…e993backed Yes | 76c | 307,131$232,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,218.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 24c | 98,337$23,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,600.88 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 26c | 75,000$19,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,149.98 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 0c | 73,625$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 76c | 49,452$37,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,868.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 24c | 27,215$6,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,406.49 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 74c | 26,914$19,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,997.69 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 25c | 26,400$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…f06dbacked No | 24c | 23,541$5,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,649.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 25c | 20,125$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,029.95 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes | 72c | 16,062$11,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,504.78 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6ac7backed Yes | 75c | 13,150$9,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 24c | 12,540$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 75c | 12,458$9,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.77 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 24c | 11,879$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked No | 23c | 9,764$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 27c | 7,368$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.71 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 26c | 6,515$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.56 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 24c | 6,336$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 23c | 6,039$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.66 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 25c | 4,775$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.75 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 4,729$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.24 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 4,063$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.8 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 28c | 3,994$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.44 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…0784backed No | 24c | 3,965$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 28c | 3,333$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 74c | 2,880$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.73 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 26c | 2,733$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.67 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 28c | 2,515$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.76 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…32fcbacked Yes | 74c | 2,387$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 25c | 2,370$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 26c | 2,235$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.43 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 23c | 2,210$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.1 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 24c | 2,160$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.11 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 4c | 2,075$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 23c | 2,036$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.03 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 23c | 2,013$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.87 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 26c | 2,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed No | 25c | 2,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 24c | 1,946$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.03 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed No | 24c | 1,875$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 24c | 1,838$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 22c | 1,626$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.34 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…7a3bbacked No | 24c | 1,574$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 23c | 1,545$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.69 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 23c | 1,513$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.96 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 7c | 1,500$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 25c | 1,444$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 77c | 1,425$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.79 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 23c | 1,346$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.62 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 29c | 1,197$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.12 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 33c | 1,163$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 25c | 1,151$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 28c | 1,070$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.93 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 24c | 1,060$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.48 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 24c | 1,056$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 23c | 1,037$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.45 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 28c | 1,036$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.03 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 24c | 997.67$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 5c | 997.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 27c | 956.2$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 24c | 927.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.09 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 67c | 896.36$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 26c | 882.71$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Yes | 75c | 830.38$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 24c | 790.32$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 26c | 774.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 24c | 666$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Yes | 74c | 665.14$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 23c | 643.94$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.11 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed Yes | 75c | 620.33$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…8652backed No | 25c | 573$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 69c | 568.93$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.37 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…09afbacked Yes | 71c | 565.24$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 74c | 557.48$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 26c | 545.72$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 3c | 514.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 77c | 512.31$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 25c | 504.39$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 26c | 499.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 74c | 479.44$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f49…104dbacked No | 25c | 474.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 11c | 473.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 76c | 460$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 4c | 416$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 74c | 397.39$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…4c44backed Yes | 75c | 394$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.