MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ddf43afb203dedec3a940f73c18fbfece17d4d8647900883111143a9565356f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof San Diego Padres, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 34,761$16,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,337.81 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 26,756$19,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,376.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…b163backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 22,386$11,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,521.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Diego Padres | 9c | 20,746$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.45 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 19,901$6,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,577.63 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 14,862$8,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,481.54 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox | 68c | 13,373$9,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,279.72 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 12,300$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.26 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 11,597$6,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,413.32 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 9,270$4,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090.94 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.97 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 7,067$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.27 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.99 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…d41cbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 5,840$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 5,672$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 13c | 5,410$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.27 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 4,835$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.77 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 4,369$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.99 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,866$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.45 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 3,310$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.24 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked San Diego Padres | 26c | 2,887$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.62 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 2,257$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,228$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.43 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,139$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.07 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 2,072$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.78 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.05 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 35c | 1,814$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…6ac3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,797$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,625$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.75 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,366$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.99 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,277$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.62 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 1,143$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 1,106$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 1,064$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,062$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.71 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Boston Red Sox | 75c | 1,046$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 988.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 984.76$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.38 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 855.01$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.31 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 713.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.78 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 682.33$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.91 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 680.77$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.33 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 679.94$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.54 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 653.35$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 585$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.79 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 580.92$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.03 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 551.87$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed San Diego Padres | 4c | 541.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 516.56$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 510.38$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.98 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 480.9$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.47 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 463.17$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.16 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 453.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.71 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 451.95$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 389.69$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.16 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 339.5$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.75 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…d8babacked San Diego Padres | 8c | 339.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 329.3$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 312.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Diego Padres | 6c | 305.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 300.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 298.32$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.23 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 290.09$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.54 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 288.26$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad6…f1d3backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 257.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 247.4$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 246.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Boston Red Sox | 78c | 246.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 223.65$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 216.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 215.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Diego Padres | 16c | 206$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 202.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 202.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7ce9backed San Diego Padres | 7c | 193.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 185.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 183.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 182.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 177.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 173.26$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 166.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 166.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 166.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.