MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c026bf521021111fd5b05940e9517d7ec07b86e61600e4597b18f3ee1936128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6308…5d18backed Over | 48c | 52,148$25,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,031.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 47c | 28,141$13,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,226.24 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 23,273$12,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,207.78 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 22,984$12,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,955.9 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 8,978$4,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309.37 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 6,856$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.21 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 6,839$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.25 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 53c | 4,885$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.95 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 53c | 3,796$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.98 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Over | 48c | 2,054$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.85 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 2,023$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.38 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 1,192$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Under | 55c | 1,054$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.15 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Under | 67c | 980.24$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Under | 46c | 913.17$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 57c | 783.4$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.99 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 47c | 750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Over | 46c | 746.32$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.31 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 53c | 745.19$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.88 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 725.71$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.34 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 44c | 677.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 568.43$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.8 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Under | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 74c | 483.8$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 47c | 407.83$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…0bf5backed Over | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Over | 54c | 378.15$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 52c | 371.33$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.42 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 43c | 366.44$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.02 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 54c | 356.4$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.12 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 295.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.1 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 52c | 277.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.01 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 54c | 276.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 52c | 211.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 53c | 193.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…2991backed Over | 9c | 187.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 53c | 180.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 52c | 178.22$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 45c | 147.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 53c | 139.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Under | 53c | 124.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 111.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 109$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…e972backed Under | 50c | 102.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…1f04backed Under | 50c | 102.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…8279backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…14c4backed Over | 47c | 78.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…ed8dbacked Under | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 53c | 75.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 68.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb551…a2f3backed Under | 55c | 65.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 53c | 64.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Over | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d3…f4f1backed Over | 48c | 55.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 53c | 53.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 45c | 52.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 33c | 47.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1938…b662backed Under | 48c | 46.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under | 64c | 46.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Under | 54c | 44.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 47c | 44.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Under | 51c | 43.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 50c | 41.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5422backed Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Over | 48c | 41.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 49c | 40.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…298bbacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 47c | 37.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 36.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…7d25backed Under | 50c | 34.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 34.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 68c | 33.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…5115backed Under | 49c | 33.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed Under | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…24eebacked Over | 48c | 32.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Under | 53c | 31.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c6…fa79backed Under | 54c | 26.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 52c | 26.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 58c | 25.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 50c | 25.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 46c | 24.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc62…ba48backed Over | 46c | 24.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…bcdcbacked Under | 49c | 24.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 47c | 24.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.