NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed1e27580725a7387eac41b5080871f5f10a6642efbc244a1d25a30161717606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Lightning, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,616,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,682,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,616,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,031 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 48c | 489,590$234,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255,225.83 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Lightning | 53c | 463,558$244,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244,776.08 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lightning | 52c | 200,892$104,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,464.05 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Sabres | 48c | 101,892$48,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,984.06 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Sabres | 49c | 80,285$39,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,945.37 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Lightning | 52c | 60,481$31,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,454.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…82e7backed Lightning | 51c | 60,006$30,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,603.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Lightning | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,199.86 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Sabres | 48c | 38,500$18,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,019.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…b317backed Lightning | 52c | 38,000$19,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,760 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Lightning | 52c | 35,005$18,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,202.6 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lightning | 51c | 30,568$15,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,589.88 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Lightning | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Sabres | 49c | 29,387$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,987.57 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Sabres | 48c | 28,685$13,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,050.81 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Sabres | 59c | 28,676$16,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,877.41 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Sabres | 49c | 25,127$12,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,834.1 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Sabres | 52c | 21,779$11,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,419.97 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Sabres | 49c | 20,383$9,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,395.41 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Lightning | 51c | 17,800$9,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,154 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Sabres | 49c | 17,774$8,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,140.37 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Sabres | 47c | 14,852$6,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,871.56 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lightning | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Sabres | 48c | 11,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,720 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Sabres | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sabres | 49c | 10,174$4,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,188.63 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Lightning | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Sabres | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Sabres | 48c | 9,870$4,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,132.55 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 52c | 9,557$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,017.02 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lightning | 52c | 9,267$4,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,801.04 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Lightning | 53c | 9,000$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Lightning | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Sabres | 48c | 8,597$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.53 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 50c | 8,018$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.38 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sabres | 49c | 7,850$3,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.64 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Sabres | 49c | 7,428$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,763.49 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lightning | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Lightning | 52c | 5,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Lightning | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Sabres | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Sabres | 48c | 4,441$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.32 | 303 | 65.7%199 W · 104 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Lightning | 52c | 4,340$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.49 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lightning | 45c | 4,336$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.02 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lightning | 51c | 4,213$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.39 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Sabres | 49c | 4,057$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.88 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 24c | 4,031$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.79 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Sabres | 47c | 4,004$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.01 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Sabres | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.08 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Sabres | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.06 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Sabres | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.03 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Sabres | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Lightning | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…cd68backed Sabres | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lightning | 52c | 3,978$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.04 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa3…448dbacked Lightning | 53c | 3,773$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf953…6673backed Lightning | 53c | 3,743$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Lightning | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Sabres | 68c | 3,338$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.6 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Sabres | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 37c | 3,295$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.24 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres | 54c | 3,286$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.08 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Sabres | 49c | 3,245$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.16 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Sabres | 49c | 3,036$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.47 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Lightning | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Lightning | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Lightning | 45c | 3,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Sabres | 58c | 2,876$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lightning | 51c | 2,870$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.77 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Sabres | 48c | 2,850$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Sabres | 47c | 2,835$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.55 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcd…33d2backed Sabres | 48c | 2,750$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…20e1backed Sabres | 48c | 2,749$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Lightning | 49c | 2,738$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.71 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Lightning | 22c | 2,735$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Sabres | 49c | 2,707$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.57 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed Lightning | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 51c | 2,545$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.15 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lightning | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Sabres | 46c | 2,500$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff84…b0e8backed Sabres | 48c | 2,489$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked Sabres | 48c | 2,395$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…1df8backed Lightning | 53c | 2,371$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.46 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 53c | 2,300$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Lightning | 52c | 2,298$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.01 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…83d2backed Sabres | 48c | 2,276$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Lightning | 33c | 2,271$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.26 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Sabres | 47c | 2,230$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.69 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Lightning | 41c | 2,209$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Lightning | 39c | 2,115$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.92 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Sabres | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Sabres | 49c | 2,016$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.07 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 67c | 2,012$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.9 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sabres | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Sabres | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Lightning | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Sabres | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Lightning | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Sabresthis page
- Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.