Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3da01d809e497a23ef3e095f1a3a55158eb544960f38840c48ff2be62261b171
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 37c | 1,603$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.79 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 60c | 891.47$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.03 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 33c | 749.98$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.59 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 29c | 739.06$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.98 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 50c | 729.5$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.43 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed No | 17c | 724.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 30c | 670.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.77 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b25…a545backed No | 61c | 643.53$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.83 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7a…525fbacked Yes | 77c | 629.52$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 40c | 616.04$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.93 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac9…d570backed Yes | 42c | 612.24$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 29c | 517.19$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.49 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 39c | 506.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.49 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 55c | 494.68$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.53 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 13c | 461.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 16c | 450.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.38 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55bf…9ee3backed Yes | 23c | 439.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.82 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…4586backed Yes | 40c | 404.96$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.96 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 72c | 403.89$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 20c | 362.32$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.9 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843f…0024backed Yes | 71c | 351.63$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 27c | 337.1$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.15 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes | 65c | 307.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 78c | 302.21$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.15 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 301.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.3 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 52c | 295$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…8817backed Yes | 37c | 271.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…2eacbacked Yes | 21c | 256.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cd…17acbacked Yes | 39c | 254.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.73 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…8a87backed Yes | 24c | 227.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.95 | 89 | 16.9%15 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 43c | 225.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.53 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 67c | 212.39$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.02 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 6c | 211.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.1 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf441…1f0ebacked Yes | 35c | 210.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +255.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5830…f928backed Yes | 20c | 210$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.28 | 166 | 11.4%19 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…c197backed Yes | 66c | 209.04$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 68c | 205.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed No | 78c | 205.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed Yes | 72c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 37c | 178.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 56c | 173.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…5bd3backed No | 61c | 163.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…eef8backed Yes | 69c | 156.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 53c | 153.21$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 35c | 151.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7751…7372backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…5670backed No | 62c | 149.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa659…1eaabacked Yes | 38c | 146.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 24c | 135.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 134.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…0661backed Yes | 24c | 123.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5972backed No | 65c | 123.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 80c | 119.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…94b3backed No | 19c | 111.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…9d49backed Yes | 33c | 111$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…50dbbacked Yes | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 69c | 109.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +108%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…307dbacked Yes | 37c | 105.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked No | 75c | 103.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 32c | 102.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 101$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…008bbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…7b63backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…c013backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…ca1fbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 24c | 93.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 61c | 92.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e3e1backed Yes | 40c | 92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…e2babacked No | 61c | 91.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 23c | 91.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 38c | 91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 61c | 88.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed No | 80c | 81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked No | 33c | 75.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…302abacked Yes | 40c | 74.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 40c | 70.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec87…8d59backed Yes | 72c | 69.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…c877backed Yes | 37c | 67.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +54%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…b8b2backed Yes | 16c | 62.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 47c | 60.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 84 | 9.5%8 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…31a4backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…9f80backed Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d3bebacked Yes | 79c | 59.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 37c | 59.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…f316backed Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…aa37backed No | 71c | 54.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 78c | 53.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…7899backed No | 59c | 53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x321f…7ceebacked No | 38c | 51.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 39c | 50.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3382…67cbbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a52…98bdbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.