Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1de54f7a174ea7af04eeb4b49fc0946ae9877ec171e19b5ef7d0945f9d5b3e25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 8c | 2,100$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.77 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 285 | 9.1%26 W · 259 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 11c | 1,416$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.68 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,210$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 6c | 1,169$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 7c | 1,057$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 5c | 950.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 848.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 7c | 781.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 738.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 18c | 667.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.12 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…8a87backed Yes | 15c | 609.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 89 | 16.9%15 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 8c | 559.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…08c7backed Yes | 9c | 535.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 20c | 529.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Yes | 10c | 500.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 14c | 459.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 3c | 458.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 11c | 450$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 77c | 438.3$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 408$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 7c | 386.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 4c | 263.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 259$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 347 | 14.7%51 W · 296 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 8c | 225.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 11c | 217.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bf…9ee3backed Yes | 23c | 216.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac9…d570backed Yes | 8c | 195.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 9c | 188.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 9c | 180$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked No | 79c | 146.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a82…c2c1backed Yes | 9c | 144.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 136.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed Yes | 23c | 124$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…0661backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 74c | 115.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb80…34c6backed Yes | 15c | 113.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…b8b2backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7b…b573backed No | 79c | 95.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…b9d1backed Yes | 22c | 91.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed Yes | 19c | 67.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…f988backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5d…1726backed No | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed Yes | 23c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…8ef0backed Yes | 23c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…508fbacked No | 79c | 34.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 380 | 10%38 W · 342 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…03f7backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc042…3eb5backed No | 77c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.