Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87ace758e3db5990423dc614b41087b245f29aab481966878caccd3d77e95167
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked No | 65c | 1,327$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.31 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Yes | 40c | 1,232$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 12c | 1,114$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.08 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 3c | 1,039$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 84 | 23.8%20 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Yes | 5c | 1,030$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 76c | 1,026$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.75 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 32c | 897.54$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 13c | 895.91$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55bf…9ee3backed Yes | 20c | 684.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 10c | 636.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 7c | 609.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 11c | 497.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 37c | 490.31$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.85 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 78c | 462.62$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…7a52backed Yes | 17c | 419$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 17c | 411.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 13c | 403.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…44fabacked No | 59c | 394.17$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 372.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…af08backed Yes | 4c | 361.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 79c | 346.54$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f53…b0b3backed Yes | 19c | 318.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…63a7backed Yes | 4c | 314.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,677%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 27c | 309.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 20c | 295$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cd…17acbacked Yes | 35c | 287.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 27c | 274.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 16c | 269.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 5c | 261$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac9…d570backed Yes | 24c | 254.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…8817backed Yes | 41c | 243.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 79c | 230$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 25c | 224.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…c197backed Yes | 29c | 210.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 59c | 209.03$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f38…c97cbacked No | 59c | 207.6$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb336…5091backed Yes | 41c | 207.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 17c | 200.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…9ba4backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 22c | 179.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 39c | 161.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 11c | 158.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…f36fbacked No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…0d38backed Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 149.39$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 29c | 135.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 13c | 129.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 30c | 122.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…0661backed Yes | 12c | 118.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 16c | 116.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Yes | 18c | 110.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…307dbacked Yes | 41c | 105.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…008bbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…7b63backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…aa37backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 380 | 10%38 W · 342 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…08c7backed No | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 17c | 94.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 23c | 91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…f901backed Yes | 39c | 87.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…8a87backed Yes | 15c | 86.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 89 | 16.9%15 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…3880backed No | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…ff78backed Yes | 41c | 72.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 38c | 68.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 68c | 68.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…d8b1backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3382…67cbbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…2db3backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf775…f817backed Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed No | 75c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…2eacbacked Yes | 31c | 48.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 74c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…2dadbacked Yes | 40c | 44.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5972backed Yes | 38c | 44.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…25a3backed Yes | 35c | 40.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2e…d1a1backed No | 76c | 32.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…10b6backed Yes | 46c | 32.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +108%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…c516backed No | 80c | 29.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 40c | 28.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked No | 69c | 26.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b4…6bb9backed No | 64c | 23.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 79c | 22.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…192abacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…13dfbacked No | 79c | 19.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d35…f929backed No | 79c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…300bbacked No | 79c | 17.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.