Earnings · resolved market
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f27c3f2fa810dee0ca6d9258d7f080fafe9a0fe7f2296970825dbbd72fe9102
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 7c | 1,332$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 79c | 999.94$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.95 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2589…85e0backed No | 22c | 805.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.58 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed No | 68c | 700.02$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.02 | 65 | 100%65 W · 0 L | +26.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 82+0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 21c | 592.02$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.46 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 15c | 500.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.48 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c0…4135backed No | 26c | 359.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 73c | 350$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 15c | 344$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.4 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 273.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.54 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 11c | 243.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.83 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 20c | 125.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 56c | 109.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed No | 28c | 106.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…b708backed Yes | 77c | 104.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…0ad4backed No | 21c | 102.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…0fb1backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…eb4fbacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…80fcbacked No | 25c | 99.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…bd9fbacked No | 18c | 99.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 16c | 97.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 17c | 97.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 13c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb5…b3a4backed No | 18c | 95.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 27c | 93.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…0e43backed Yes | 77c | 84.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…daeebacked Yes | 79c | 80.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…9e26backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 77c | 77.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…67b6backed Yes | 76c | 76.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed No | 27c | 74.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825d…1633backed No | 27c | 72.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 74c | 64.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 70c | 64.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca9…bd40backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…5fd0backed No | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed No | 21c | 58.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…a70fbacked No | 55c | 55.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +12.8wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…9f02backed Yes | 77c | 52.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 77c | 52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1e…8213backed No | 21c | 51.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed Yes | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked No | 27c | 44.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 75c | 44.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…4bfcbacked Yes | 77c | 38.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…a3adbacked Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…0e46backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…9904backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d18…2d4bbacked Yes | 74c | 21.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…0cc0backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9f…082bbacked Yes | 73c | 17.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…1041backed Yes | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.