TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Bruins vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Bruins, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,010,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,029,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,010,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,012 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x98f7…b3e4backed Stars57c204,287$116,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,843.5310753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Stars57c138,939$78,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,157.4922443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Stars56c100,000$56,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,999.8467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Bruins43c64,086$27,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,556.7948549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Bruins43c50,000$21,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,499.9848545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bruins42c42,581$18,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,073.721,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Bruins43c41,290$17,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,766.361,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Bruins43c36,565$15,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,722.9521755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bruins43c25,000$10,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,7501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Bruins44c21,856$9,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,571.061,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Bruins44c16,714$7,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,353.988252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb57…c6d2backed Stars60c14,675$8,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,870250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bruins43c11,908$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,120.4452050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Bruins43c11,628$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Bruins43c8,695$3,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,738.858453.6%45 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bruins43c8,000$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,44033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Stars56c8,000$4,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,48061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Bruins40c6,767$2,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.811445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Bruins40c6,510$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,603.9350049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Bruins40c6,500$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.031,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Bruins43c6,493$2,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.4114753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Stars59c6,451$3,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.839052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Stars57c6,251$3,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,687.884047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Bruins44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64021036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Bruins0c6,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Stars50c5,373$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.334148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Stars59c5,355$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.9145955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a33…c087backed Stars61c5,098$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Bruins44c5,073$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.3228251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stars57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Bruins43c4,889$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.2318345.9%84 W · 99 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Bruins43c4,652$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.3615145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Stars60c4,566$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.3919051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Bruins44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00028152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Bruins1c4,529$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7426344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd837…85d2backed Bruins40c4,500$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Stars59c4,356$2,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.32,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Bruins44c4,312$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.2828353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bruins43c4,218$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.562,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Bruins45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8004057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x137b…b72fbacked Bruins43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Bruins43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Bruins39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Bruins50c3,960$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98013954%75 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bruins0c3,767$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Stars55c3,633$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.924050%20 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Bruins44c3,523$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.294045%18 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Bruins44c3,457$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.5831148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Stars57c3,333$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.1925447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200c…58eabacked Stars57c3,230$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.983764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Stars60c3,202$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.7554047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bruins43c3,078$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.751,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Bruins39c3,034$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.081,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Bruins45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3508650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Bruins40c2,963$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.0589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Bruins43c2,891$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.2444551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Bruins43c2,844$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.921952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Stars57c2,784$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.8910848.1%52 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Stars56c2,593$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.671,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Bruins39c2,562$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.282147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Stars59c2,545$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.3548050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Stars61c2,522$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.582161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bruins43c2,421$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.152,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Stars57c2,380$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.414848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Stars60c2,308$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.211749.6%58 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Stars67c2,293$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.7485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bruins44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Bruins44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002035%7 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Bruins44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007138%27 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Bruins44c2,260$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.43545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Stars61c2,200$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85810056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Bruins42c2,149$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.131,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a80…141fbacked Bruins47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars60c2,049$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.1263249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Bruins42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8404346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Bruins44c1,820$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80120047.5%95 W · 105 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Bruins44c1,818$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.961947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b85…a1d8backed Bruins43c1,755$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bruins26c1,716$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293f…3e52backed Bruins44c1,705$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Bruins33c1,660$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.841,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Bruins44c1,635$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.436349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bruins30c1,620$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.011,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bruins43c1,583$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.751,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Stars56c1,534$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.9311243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bruins43c1,527$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.7160337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Stars56c1,504$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.7116756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Bruins44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Bruins44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b6…e2ccbacked Bruins40c1,499$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.61553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe3…38f9backed Stars60c1,499$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb757…7d17backed Bruins40c1,499$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69f7…67dcbacked Bruins40c1,499$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcfc…9a8dbacked Stars60c1,499$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e8d…3378backed Stars60c1,499$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.61080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x128a…10f9backed Stars60c1,498$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.21662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0622…2619backed Bruins40c1,498$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.21250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c5a…7ef8backed Bruins40c1,497$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e28…b889backed Stars60c1,497$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.81181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+43.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0aa…2009backed Stars60c1,491$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.