NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff8629ebfa498cb3a64ca33304b7158f3ef114a56c48479021972e3ee071265b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bruins | 66c | 10,667$7,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,009.72 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Stars | 34c | 4,225$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.5 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Stars | 34c | 3,750$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 34c | 3,290$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.71 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Stars | 34c | 1,900$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Bruins | 66c | 1,880$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.5 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Stars | 35c | 1,569$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.57 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Bruins | 65c | 1,550$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.47 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bruins | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Bruins | 66c | 1,514$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 34c | 928.96$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.42 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Stars | 34c | 600$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Bruins | 65c | 369.27$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Stars | 35c | 354.68$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.54 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Stars | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Stars | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Stars | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Bruins | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bruins | 60c | 227.94$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Bruins | 63c | 159.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 40c | 147.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bruins | 64c | 125.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars | 36c | 116.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Stars | 35c | 113.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bruins | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Stars | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Bruins | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Stars | 34c | 94.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stars | 36c | 93.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Bruins | 62c | 81.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Stars | 38c | 64.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Stars | 35c | 62.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bruins | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Stars | 38c | 53.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 36c | 50.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Stars | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Stars | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Stars | 34c | 44.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Bruins | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Stars | 35c | 36.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 164 | 63.4%104 W · 60 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Bruins | 65c | 32.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Bruins | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Bruins | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Bruins | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bruins | 66c | 26.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…e4debacked Bruins | 66c | 17.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. StarsStars won
- Bruins vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.