NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Stars: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e7324cec1c625f8acfab46b175f0522c5c1fe2d584e9163f328917fa7bfd98a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 45c | 2,199$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 56c | 1,010$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.58 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 29c | 610$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 47c | 472.2$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.93 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 339.51$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.62 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…68a2backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 191.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 183.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 46c | 139.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 57c | 138$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ca…6725backed Over | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 54c | 123$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 59c | 106.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 44c | 101.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 57c | 99.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805c…6963backed Under | 53c | 75.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 54c | 63.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Over | 56c | 58.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 56c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 42.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…07cbbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 56c | 32.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…8e54backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 23.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 63c | 21.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Stars: O/U 5.5this page
- Bruins vs. StarsStars won
- Bruins vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.