La Liga · resolved market
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bef982031a2119dd85ec80cd90f1a00d6f6e6967d1fa9073d1582ad8d56ad35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $579,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $660,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Yes | 44c | 150,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,999.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 73,611$45,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,575.65 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 58c | 69,240$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,239.56 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 35,961$16,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,334.69 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 28c | 30,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 26,708$15,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,691.06 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 21,850$12,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,613.58 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 55c | 16,950$9,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,627.45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 10,263$6,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,891.77 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 56c | 10,101$5,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,444.48 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 48c | 9,220$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425.67 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 52c | 9,100$4,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.11 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 56c | 7,800$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 56c | 6,729$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.55 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 60c | 6,649$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.85 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 6,400$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.78 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 39c | 6,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 65c | 5,394$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.22 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 55c | 5,330$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.77 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 44c | 5,136$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.91 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 45c | 5,033$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.63 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.87 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 37c | 4,518$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 55c | 4,253$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.18 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 4,128$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.24 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 3,875$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.41 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4bb8backed Yes | 33c | 3,780$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59c…5774backed No | 56c | 3,016$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe670…6f1cbacked Yes | 44c | 3,014$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 41c | 2,898$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.16 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 2,745$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.99 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed No | 54c | 2,624$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,594$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.87 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 43c | 2,576$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.45 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 55c | 2,069$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.9 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 43c | 2,040$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.71 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…1931backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 53c | 1,884$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.31 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 53c | 1,760$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.8 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…150bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,453$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 44c | 1,382$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…1465backed Yes | 48c | 1,381$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 45c | 1,244$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.07 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 60c | 1,129$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.28 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 45c | 1,086$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.75 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,083$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…eb9dbacked No | 56c | 1,053$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 46c | 1,043$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 54c | 1,027$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.6 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Yes | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…67c8backed No | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 42c | 985.11$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.74 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 45c | 871.97$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.11 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f6…8132backed Yes | 26c | 777.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 31c | 745.16$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 55c | 724$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.8 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 698$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.51 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 683.4$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.46 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c07…34a4backed Yes | 48c | 673$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 57c | 625$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.75 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…ca89backed Yes | 48c | 622.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 31c | 580.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 39c | 537$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.93 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 44c | 504.55$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 53c | 500.01$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 55c | 497.2$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.29 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 45c | 487.92$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 54c | 462$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5665…21dabacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 45c | 442.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes | 47c | 426.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 55c | 423.6$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.62 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 54c | 418.2$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.46 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 45c | 400$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.75 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 43c | 390.16$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Real Oviedo vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.