La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0104abe687c83f08527ddd620b4aa1d6241b517ee73be71b5c631d8c4ca53634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 14,364$7,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,980.25 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 32c | 10,000$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 65c | 6,844$4,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.61 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 24c | 4,999$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.75 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 61c | 1,600$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.44 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6e…255abacked Yes | 79c | 1,566$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 60c | 1,534$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.8 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 19c | 1,474$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.29 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…9131backed Yes | 46c | 1,143$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 33c | 1,090$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.23 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked No | 45c | 999$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 4c | 984.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 915$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.55 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 886.78$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.91 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…e8e9backed Yes | 55c | 726.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 48c | 678.64$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.03 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 70c | 650.49$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.78 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…25cfbacked Yes | 71c | 620$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 30c | 562.89$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.54 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 56c | 535.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 70c | 499.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 70c | 492$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 4c | 414$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Yes | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 76c | 332.55$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Yes | 30c | 320.87$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.61 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 316.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…453cbacked Yes | 72c | 297.8$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 21c | 290.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 30c | 280$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 274.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 5c | 224.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 71c | 202.27$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 71c | 201.29$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 70c | 183.45$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 132.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yes | 66c | 111.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 28c | 105.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 71c | 103.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 62c | 102$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd5…b24abacked Yes | 73c | 80.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Yes | 64c | 77.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 266 | 45.5%121 W · 145 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 71c | 57.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…edccbacked Yes | 73c | 56.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a2…825cbacked No | 72c | 54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 47.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…9230backed Yes | 28c | 41.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 29c | 37.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 53c | 31.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…f663backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…4c00backed Yes | 64c | 31.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a42…6aa2backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…d7c1backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c9…5010backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…8898backed No | 73c | 19.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48eb…8ec4backed No | 73c | 17.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…f2e3backed No | 74c | 14.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 74c | 13.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…5e33backed No | 73c | 13.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?this page
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?No won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.