TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a60…4c00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST4571.1%32 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+27.7%+$3.05
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.95
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26.45
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.86
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$84.38
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38.6%+$40.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$14.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+30.7%+$61.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.