Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccf7fa982aa412a6cb29851c818c98898c2fb90dc90db67f93e3322cb5dbbdba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Team Liquid, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Liquid | 75c | 7,856$5,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,919.96 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 6,791$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,928.31 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 5,229$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.4 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 5,000$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.99 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 4,800$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 4,287$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 4,220$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.39 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid | 53c | 3,190$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.57 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Team Liquid | 72c | 3,093$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 2,914$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.01 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 2,908$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.2 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 2,393$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.29 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 2,007$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.16 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.98 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,782$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.81 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 13c | 1,728$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.96 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.22 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 1,484$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.96 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 1,446$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.57 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,372$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.9 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 1,290$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.56 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 1,190$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.84 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 1,174$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.37 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 1,167$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.86 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…b8a0backed Team Liquid | 41c | 1,018$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.47 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Liquid | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Team Liquid | 79c | 905.62$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 847.45$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.69 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 846.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.91 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 777.44$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.46 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 700$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 58c | 676.42$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 600$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 522.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.25 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Liquid | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 499.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 474.31$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.02 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 472.23$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.84 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…4152backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 462.24$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 436.51$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.77 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 422.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.03 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 419.45$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.56 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Liquid | 67c | 404.36$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.92 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 324.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.87 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…e43ebacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 314.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 300$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 300$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…ba37backed Team Liquid | 20c | 299.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…42c4backed Team Liquid | 33c | 299.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 299.98$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.98 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…36f3backed Team Liquid | 80c | 285.94$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 281.1$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.86 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Team Liquid | 56c | 280$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 249.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.49 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 244.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.46 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid | 80c | 235$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 225.77$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 221.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.6 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…090dbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 210.63$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 208.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.71 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Team Liquid | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Liquid | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…0585backed Team Liquid | 39c | 176.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 173.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Team Liquid | 31c | 155$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…27d0backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 154.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Team Liquid | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440c…a4f1backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 153.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +181.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 153.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Team Liquid | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Liquid | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 145.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 139.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -10.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Team Liquid | 79c | 128.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…cc16backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 114.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 105$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Liquid | 60c | 102.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Team Liquid | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Team Liquid | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.48per pick | 62cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61d…1ab7backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +246.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc016…8c74backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 84.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 83.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 79.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Team Liquid | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 70.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…d3e6backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 70.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Team Liquid | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.