Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58203aa4c166d785bf4ddb3c30d1a6677029629e9a5a02bccd578f742faccaf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Team Liquid, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 2,617$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.32 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 1,636$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.72 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,321$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.91 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Liquid | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…ff10backed Team Liquid | 55c | 599.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked Team Liquid | 15c | 392.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Liquid | 24c | 375$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Team Liquid | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Team Liquid | 16c | 271.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 234.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.59 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 150.21$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 149.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Liquid | 75c | 134.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Team Liquid | 54c | 130$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -10.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 109.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Team Liquid | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 86.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…2e70backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 41.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Liquid | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…28cebacked Team Liquid | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro (BO3)Virtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.