Australian A League · resolved market
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x253d013af5aff15266e4da8e4212dfa7a0a3c92a0ff68e3a3ac94b13155295dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 39,687$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,687.35 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 16,483$12,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,146.56 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 14,005$10,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,519.17 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 13,551$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,449.51 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 11,177$8,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,428.34 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 33c | 8,551$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 60c | 4,351$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.81 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 25c | 1,682$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf5…b4f8backed Yes | 73c | 1,609$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 1,050$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.29 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…b4c7backed Yes | 27c | 846.93$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +147%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Yes | 30c | 831.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 24c | 816.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.67 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…ec6abacked Yes | 63c | 750.78$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 24c | 592.11$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 56c | 539.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.02 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 25c | 438.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked Yes | 58c | 429.93$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 75c | 415.42$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.15 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…62febacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +201.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…de18backed Yes | 61c | 394.87$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 25c | 390$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 78c | 385.55$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…edc9backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Yes | 78c | 334.14$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…e648backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…01aebacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 78c | 287.19$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed No | 57c | 241.25$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 78c | 225.46$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 56c | 223.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 53c | 200.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…2ee5backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b4…dbf0backed Yes | 72c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…0641backed Yes | 58c | 194.83$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 78c | 192.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 177.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Yes | 60c | 174$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 167.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc9…fc76backed Yes | 61c | 164.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked Yes | 65c | 161.54$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 57c | 160.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…5f16backed Yes | 62c | 160.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 55c | 156.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 54c | 148.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Yes | 26c | 143.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 58c | 134.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Yes | 77c | 130.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 25c | 128.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 31c | 119.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed No | 31c | 119.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…bcc6backed Yes | 25c | 112$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0086…83fcbacked Yes | 25c | 110$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 26c | 109.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…7616backed Yes | 24c | 108.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 28c | 107.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 56c | 106.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…0beabacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 19c | 91.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 38c | 91.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…ba76backed Yes | 27c | 89.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa229…576ebacked Yes | 55c | 88.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 57c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…122dbacked Yes | 25c | 81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4b…c2bcbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +90%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 52c | 78.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 24c | 76.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Yes | 40c | 75.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…14fabacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…01d4backed No | 50c | 69.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Yes | 60c | 67.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…f575backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +202.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9672…e185backed No | 77c | 60.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed No | 76c | 59.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 23c | 59.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 59c | 53.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…8cdfbacked Yes | 35c | 50.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-01?this page
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.