TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x547b…8cdf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs BK ROG Esports (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.71
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20.94
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+86.5%+$12.98
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+74.1%+$10.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+132.6%+$15.91
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+84.7%+$8.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
George Mason Patriots vs. George Washington Revolutionariesbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26.18
Milwaukee Panthers vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+103.4%+$21.97
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchosbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.72
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+59.7%+$10.77
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+116.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+59.7%+$10.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+143.2%+$28.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will PSV win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+135.5%+$27.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+80.5%+$29.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs USA (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24.7
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.