Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Camila Osorio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3f87d1f7b6caddc09c4aa1a5733c61824bf4f2b7150778f17e6307e6dfc1bbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ostapenkoof Ostapenko, Osorio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Osorio | 17c | 18,742$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.83 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Osorio | 48c | 11,546$5,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,542.21 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Osorio | 37c | 6,493$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.79 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Ostapenko | 55c | 6,010$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.01 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Ostapenko | 53c | 5,689$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.35 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Osorio | 45c | 4,740$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.96 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Ostapenko | 57c | 4,398$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.86 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Ostapenko | 54c | 4,026$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.37 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Osorio | 45c | 3,783$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.57 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Osorio | 47c | 3,700$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.99 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Osorio | 46c | 3,448$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Osorio | 34c | 2,763$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.24 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Ostapenko | 56c | 2,555$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.2 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Ostapenko | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Ostapenko | 46c | 2,271$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.82 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Ostapenko | 54c | 1,857$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.41 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Osorio | 44c | 1,828$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.26 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Ostapenko | 54c | 1,828$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.78 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Osorio | 40c | 1,503$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Ostapenko | 52c | 1,502$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.67 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Osorio | 46c | 1,450$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.08 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Ostapenko | 56c | 1,403$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.28 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Osorio | 40c | 1,316$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.86 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Osorio | 13c | 1,134$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Ostapenko | 54c | 1,114$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Ostapenko | 56c | 895.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.62 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Osorio | 44c | 892.16$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.55 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ostapenko | 57c | 887.17$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.48 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Ostapenko | 58c | 866.71$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.02 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Ostapenko | 47c | 861.36$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.52 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241a…a9c8backed Ostapenko | 66c | 860.85$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.69 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Ostapenko | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Ostapenko | 50c | 786$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Osorio | 23c | 699$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Ostapenko | 51c | 648.16$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Osorio | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Ostapenko | 53c | 541.41$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.37 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Ostapenko | 56c | 532$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Osorio | 43c | 507.85$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.38 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Osorio | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Osorio | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Osorio | 21c | 472.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Osorio | 46c | 460$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.4 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Osorio | 19c | 426.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Osorio | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Ostapenko | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ostapenko | 53c | 365$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Ostapenko | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Ostapenko | 52c | 360$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Osorio | 20c | 340.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Osorio | 44c | 312.72$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.69 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Ostapenko | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Ostapenko | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ostapenko | 60c | 258.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Osorio | 43c | 256$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Ostapenko | 54c | 228.57$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ostapenko | 53c | 227$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.69 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6b…b355backed Osorio | 11c | 226.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Osorio | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Ostapenko | 55c | 217.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e5…292fbacked Ostapenko | 56c | 211$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Osorio | 48c | 208.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222e…b1e8backed Ostapenko | 56c | 202$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…a77ebacked Osorio | 44c | 202$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Ostapenko | 51c | 197.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Osorio | 9c | 187.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Ostapenko | 55c | 183.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Osorio | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…2891backed Osorio | 6c | 180.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked Ostapenko | 56c | 178.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 106 | 68.9%73 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…e0c9backed Ostapenko | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Ostapenko | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Osorio | 46c | 153$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Osorio | 15c | 149.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Ostapenko | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Osorio | 52c | 136.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Osorio | 45c | 125.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Osorio | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Ostapenko | 63c | 119$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Osorio | 48c | 114.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Osorio | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Ostapenko | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Ostapenko | 53c | 101.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Osorio | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Ostapenko | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Osorio | 47c | 92.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed Ostapenko | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Ostapenko | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Ostapenko | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ostapenko | 65c | 86.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Ostapenko | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Ostapenko | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Ostapenko | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Osorio | 43c | 67.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Osorio | 37c | 64.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Osorio | 34c | 64.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Osorio | 45c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…8f08backed Osorio | 24c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…971fbacked Ostapenko | 54c | 55.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Osorio | 33c | 55.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Camila Osoriothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ostapenko vs OsorioOstapenko won
- Set Handicap: Ostapenko (-1.5) vs Osorio (+1.5)Ostapenko won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.