South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-02-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5549dd747a9cae92c9d451542f41e2a891167bc549b3f434ed8e055eca8a339c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked No | 60c | 3,982$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 1,922$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.89 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 1,386$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.41 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 1,152$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 839.14$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164e…c2a2backed Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 48c | 534.02$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 64c | 506.16$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.01 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 35c | 402$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.25 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 30c | 370.22$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 44c | 307.22$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0b…274fbacked Yes | 30c | 298.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 256.2$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 220.91$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4c…a700backed Yes | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 40c | 187.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 18c | 162.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 36c | 153.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 126.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 18c | 112.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…0450backed Yes | 17c | 105.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked No | 52c | 97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 47c | 93.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 51c | 82.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed No | 67c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 48c | 74.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 70.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 52.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 66c | 43.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…8107backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e19…e7f7backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Yes | 36c | 41.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 41c | 38.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a75…9d4fbacked No | 72c | 37.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Yes | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…2778backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 63c | 31.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…846ebacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked No | 71c | 27.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 55c | 24.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…8cdfbacked Yes | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 54c | 22.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed No | 66c | 20.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-02-09?this page
- Will CA Lanús vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.