South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd2c580fa73418556acadfb48c6e50b7ae98e39442d69d5bd983b0e132c682a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 5,882$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 77c | 3,100$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Yes | 24c | 1,342$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Yes | 1c | 1,273$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 21c | 1,080$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 17c | 588.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.95 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 10c | 500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…0450backed Yes | 12c | 316.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 65c | 220.52$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 24c | 145$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 61c | 135.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 21c | 93.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 74c | 87.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 79.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 55c | 54.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…e2fdbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 79c | 15.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-09?this page
- Will CA Lanús vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-02-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.