TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,371,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,474,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,371,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 596 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe423…bff2backed No46c764,596$348,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348,845.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes54c199,945$107,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,974.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c178,434$99,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,984.8124044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No44c109,779$48,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,502.659159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes54c100,000$54,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,000850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes57c90,518$51,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,523.8471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes54c67,528$36,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,735.7587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes56c63,540$35,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,205.8714337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes58c62,462$36,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,173.631,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes54c39,475$21,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,146.0162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes54c32,500$17,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,82513348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,199.985947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.952040%8 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No44c18,276$8,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,041.234940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes60c17,139$10,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,773.861435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c15,626$3,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,816.711,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed No23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes78c9,428$7,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.191392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick67cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked No45c9,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0501631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes56c8,929$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.571457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No45c8,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.92540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes56c7,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0804131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No45c6,671$3,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.776553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes56c6,400$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8401163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed No45c6,248$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.38435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7003655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No45c5,601$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.294459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No44c5,600$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4645156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes55c5,455$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed Yes55c5,194$2,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No44c4,923$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.94447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes57c4,553$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.93757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes54c4,442$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.2752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes55c4,100$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8452832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed No45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5508…5a70backed Yes55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.991717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-54.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes57c3,945$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.399447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes55c3,677$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.654151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes64c3,617$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.65040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes54c3,479$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.5319055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Yes55c3,386$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes54c3,077$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.2731049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes57c3,061$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.153650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Yes55c3,059$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3504057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.863240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1809…0d24backed Yes56c2,995$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed70…48c1backed No44c2,890$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No25c2,805$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.455330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes55c2,706$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Yes54c2,700$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.582080%16 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes55c2,588$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.614452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No43c2,464$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.521838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes55c2,364$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.641631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Yes55c2,284$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x644e…510fbacked Yes58c2,246$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No45c2,201$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.3229949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes76c2,107$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.871450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes55c2,008$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.67741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16d…39a2backed Yes55c2,006$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes54c1,945$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.7511355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes56c1,870$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.93644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b02…ae87backed Yes56c1,845$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.081050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Yes76c1,817$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.05966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes77c1,790$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.6524642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes56c1,784$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.933138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No43c1,760$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No45c1,732$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.511520%3 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes66c1,601$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.61070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes56c1,549$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.574346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6754746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.791586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes78c1,301$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes55c1,292$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.49355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No30c1,288$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.2218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Yes54c1,182$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.033348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No46c1,094$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Yes66c1,047$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.21771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes54c1,019$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.524723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45020150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Yes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4602245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4505745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Yes56c1,000$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4451050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4606141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No42c999.97$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.992835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes55c991.05$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.8833148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0462…c8f4backed No46c971.33$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.8150%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes57c964.91$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.911450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed No44c959.99$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Yes75c945.2$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.31662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes76c936.55$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes62c930.13$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.292060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes54c926$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.962744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes54c926$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.964266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.