Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Colorado Buffaloes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4d856020baf2f589378b3e251062b686796b52bd9b7932056e29996f4b7de78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Buffaloesof Arizona State Sun Devils, Colorado Buffaloes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 61c | 12,000$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.99 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 62c | 7,580$4,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.2 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 38c | 4,297$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 40c | 3,736$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 3,732$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.72 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 3,577$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.84 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 2,540$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.6 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 26c | 1,223$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.45 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Colorado Buffaloes | 62c | 1,010$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.8 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 770$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Buffaloes | 68c | 592$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Buffaloes | 69c | 519.48$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 516.12$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.87 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado Buffaloes | 68c | 451.61$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 38c | 439.24$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.16 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 30c | 305$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 33c | 284.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 18c | 283.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Colorado Buffaloes | 62c | 239.32$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 67c | 196.4$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 30c | 137.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Colorado Buffaloes | 71c | 137.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Colorado Buffaloes | 76c | 134$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 77c | 124.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 41c | 123.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colorado Buffaloes | 64c | 119.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 17c | 117.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 32c | 100.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Colorado Buffaloes | 64c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 61c | 81.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 81.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 45c | 78.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -9.6wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 67c | 67.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 40c | 59.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Colorado Buffaloes | 77c | 58.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 40c | 58.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 34c | 57.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 59c | 56.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ed…a438backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 37c | 51.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 31c | 45.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 34c | 30.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…8cdfbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 63c | 28.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Colorado Buffaloes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Colorado Buffaloes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 100 | 95%95 W · 5 L | +21.3wins | +0.21per pick | 74cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Colorado Buffaloes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Colorado Buffaloesthis page
- Spread: Colorado Buffaloes (-3.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.