CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs megoshort (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x966c644faf00cb9142b988b8511b9fafb531abad1c789b58a5900a816bb77a5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSDIILITof CSDIILIT, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked megoshort | 59c | 2,819$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.59 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked CSDIILIT | 68c | 2,619$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4997…ccd7backed megoshort | 64c | 2,553$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…6933backed megoshort | 1c | 2,551$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674c…f51ebacked CSDIILIT | 36c | 2,545$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CSDIILIT | 40c | 2,381$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.37 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9b…40f4backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 2,040$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…3fd8backed CSDIILIT | 37c | 2,020$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b7…eed4backed CSDIILIT | 37c | 2,010$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed megoshort | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked CSDIILIT | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked CSDIILIT | 43c | 1,996$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.61 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked megoshort | 29c | 1,840$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.52 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed megoshort | 24c | 1,585$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked megoshort | 61c | 1,537$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.02 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked megoshort | 62c | 1,459$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…e8e5backed megoshort | 14c | 1,419$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd03…a537backed megoshort | 62c | 1,340$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed megoshort | 16c | 1,239$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.22 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 1,106$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.94 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed CSDIILIT | 39c | 1,060$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.97 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…9efcbacked megoshort | 64c | 1,020$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…72b5backed CSDIILIT | 36c | 1,020$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked megoshort | 58c | 1,006$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked CSDIILIT | 51c | 903.05$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.31 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbd…16d6backed CSDIILIT | 39c | 772.15$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.15 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…07eabacked megoshort | 62c | 700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…d2d3backed megoshort | 63c | 683$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…e02ebacked megoshort | 63c | 680$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…520ebacked megoshort | 63c | 670$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb3…9e9dbacked megoshort | 63c | 670$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…a7b2backed megoshort | 63c | 667$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1df…3e3bbacked megoshort | 63c | 660$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed megoshort | 40c | 634.35$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.25 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked CSDIILIT | 36c | 547.38$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.32 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…f4c4backed CSDIILIT | 40c | 494$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked megoshort | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed megoshort | 46c | 435.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked megoshort | 51c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.6 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CSDIILIT | 55c | 395.3$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.13 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…2d34backed CSDIILIT | 47c | 325.38$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked megoshort | 59c | 322.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed megoshort | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked CSDIILIT | 39c | 295.15$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.14 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed megoshort | 59c | 280$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed megoshort | 63c | 275.2$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed megoshort | 40c | 269.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…6afcbacked megoshort | 60c | 254$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…7849backed megoshort | 60c | 240$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed CSDIILIT | 46c | 225$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.13 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked megoshort | 63c | 213.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 68cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked megoshort | 27c | 210$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed CSDIILIT | 48c | 209.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked CSDIILIT | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed megoshort | 62c | 190.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…95f0backed CSDIILIT | 37c | 185$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…4954backed megoshort | 63c | 185$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed megoshort | 16c | 180.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked megoshort | 53c | 179$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47b2…1cdcbacked megoshort | 63c | 177$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a5…2772backed CSDIILIT | 37c | 177$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dc…f377backed CSDIILIT | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…7280backed CSDIILIT | 37c | 169$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7b…a112backed megoshort | 63c | 169$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…b346backed CSDIILIT | 37c | 169$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5670…a040backed megoshort | 63c | 169$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddf…45c0backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 160$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…e5eebacked megoshort | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…9b68backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 160$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…2c49backed megoshort | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…fe01backed CSDIILIT | 36c | 158$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…f7ebbacked megoshort | 64c | 158$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed megoshort | 58c | 156.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…fd56backed CSDIILIT | 37c | 151$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…d7f7backed megoshort | 63c | 151$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934d…e937backed megoshort | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…34ccbacked megoshort | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…b43dbacked CSDIILIT | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa41d…f9e7backed megoshort | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…10b5backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d69…6118backed CSDIILIT | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked megoshort | 68c | 147.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed CSDIILIT | 40c | 142.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked megoshort | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed CSDIILIT | 69c | 123.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed megoshort | 10c | 118.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked CSDIILIT | 56c | 112.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed CSDIILIT | 39c | 106.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…d06cbacked megoshort | 39c | 106.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed megoshort | 58c | 101.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed megoshort | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…a5dabacked megoshort | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…2e6cbacked CSDIILIT | 53c | 92.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…2045backed CSDIILIT | 41c | 89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked CSDIILIT | 43c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked CSDIILIT | 41c | 85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…c63bbacked megoshort | 63c | 82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked megoshort | 62c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs megoshort (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs megoshort - Map 1 Winner CSDIILIT won
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs megoshort - Map 2 Winner CSDIILIT won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.