CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs megoshort - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd5546d24254e0a730811bd88b885001f1c10373642dfa5a8226e68d1b3e4d6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSDIILITof CSDIILIT, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked megoshort | 5c | 3,395$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.9 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed CSDIILIT | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 465 | 45.6%212 W · 253 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed megoshort | 2c | 649.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked megoshort | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed megoshort | 23c | 291.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed megoshort | 54c | 278.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked megoshort | 53c | 240.89$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked CSDIILIT | 68c | 207.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed CSDIILIT | 30c | 195.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked CSDIILIT | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed CSDIILIT | 16c | 119.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CSDIILIT | 46c | 116.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked megoshort | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 453 | 57.2%259 W · 194 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked megoshort | 53c | 83.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…922bbacked CSDIILIT | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed CSDIILIT | 44c | 52.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed megoshort | 44c | 45.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed CSDIILIT | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…5473backed CSDIILIT | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs megoshort (BO3) CSDIILIT won
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs megoshort - Map 2 Winner CSDIILIT won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.