TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UC Irvine Anteaters vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UC Santa Barbara Gauchosof UC Irvine Anteaters, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b47…d615backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos52c3,172$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.8774051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UC Irvine Anteaters35c2,579$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.395,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UC Irvine Anteaters43c1,613$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.765,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos51c1,558$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.392,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed UC Irvine Anteaters49c1,048$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.835243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa7…089dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters39c907.45$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.119851%50 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos56c708.81$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.873,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters48c630$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.437142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UC Irvine Anteaters48c504.06$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.1412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos54c434.75$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9889850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos55c254.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.551,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos52c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos56c128$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6961446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed UC Irvine Anteaters53c126.1$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5768254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters49c122.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.994,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed UC Irvine Anteaters46c121.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5613141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed UC Irvine Anteaters53c116$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5838345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked UC Irvine Anteaters47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked UC Irvine Anteaters51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed UC Irvine Anteaters47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408940.4%36 W · 53 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed UC Irvine Anteaters50c83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.54254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed UC Irvine Anteaters48c79.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed UC Irvine Anteaters47c74.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.242,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UC Irvine Anteaters47c72.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.941,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed UC Irvine Anteaters47c67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.496648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked UC Irvine Anteaters46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed UC Irvine Anteaters31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203718.9%7 W · 30 L-9.6wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-60.9%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UC Irvine Anteaters50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters29c59.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fb…b328backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos63c55.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.425530.9%17 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed UC Irvine Anteaters51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.526848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.84259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos49c39.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.431,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos52c30.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7539050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x547b…8cdfbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos57c29.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1718167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc55…9f7cbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos53c20.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.842,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.510095%95 W · 5 L+21.3wins+0.21per pick74cpaid+29.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.