Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x867a5dedbcfa4739f9aa5165182df4e1a079881a43037acd259e774453e3a71b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 32c | 2,034$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.37 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 1,434$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.73 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 75c | 1,181$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.81 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 1,080$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.9 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes | 42c | 940.71$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 875.71$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 673$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.17 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Yes | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 428$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.96 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 77c | 415.9$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 62c | 360$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 37c | 321.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.62 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 305.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.26 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 265$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 170.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 44c | 156.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 45c | 116$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 75c | 114.77$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked No | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 56c | 89.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 38c | 87.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 58c | 82.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes | 45c | 77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 21c | 55.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…4c00backed Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…4b34backed No | 60c | 47.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 28c | 47.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed No | 56c | 34.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked No | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed No | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed No | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed No | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed No | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 70c | 18.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 63c | 17.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.