Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe01c7f8e318a5b42ed147d875b06cfff7a9f3536a51cecfe493ac0ab33a5a31f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Heroic | 53c | 16,537$8,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,710.84 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Heroic | 55c | 9,952$5,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.33 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed 1win | 44c | 9,807$4,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,341.59 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked 1win | 7c | 8,767$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.31 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Heroic | 56c | 8,071$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.27 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed 1win | 45c | 6,731$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked 1win | 26c | 6,283$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.86 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed 1win | 40c | 5,246$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Heroic | 52c | 4,143$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.52 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Heroic | 46c | 4,067$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.21 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked 1win | 67c | 3,005$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Heroic | 55c | 2,977$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.77 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Heroic | 80c | 2,857$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 1win | 42c | 2,645$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.95 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked 1win | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.57 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed 1win | 44c | 2,400$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win | 30c | 2,304$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.16 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…d1abbacked Heroic | 80c | 2,241$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.74 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked 1win | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…2905backed Heroic | 55c | 1,926$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…d685backed 1win | 45c | 1,926$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked 1win | 44c | 1,914$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.95 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed 1win | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Heroic | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked 1win | 8c | 1,819$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked 1win | 20c | 1,594$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.04 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…b76bbacked 1win | 4c | 1,099$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 1win | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked 1win | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed 1win | 44c | 943$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.51 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Heroic | 56c | 886.02$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.22 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed 1win | 20c | 850$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked 1win | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Heroic | 54c | 800$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked 1win | 55c | 754.39$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.49 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed 1win | 57c | 734.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Heroic | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed 1win | 20c | 699.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed 1win | 28c | 678.32$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.62 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed 1win | 45c | 666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Heroic | 43c | 633$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.81 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Heroic | 79c | 613.99$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed 1win | 10c | 599.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…71e1backed 1win | 73c | 592.39$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 48c | 588.12$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.22 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Heroic | 61c | 579.87$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Heroic | 54c | 530.45$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.45 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Heroic | 54c | 503.62$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Heroic | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked 1win | 45c | 461.11$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Heroic | 55c | 437.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed 1win | 24c | 419.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed 1win | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed 1win | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed 1win | 23c | 363.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Heroic | 73c | 347.84$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…b521backed Heroic | 59c | 339.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed 1win | 21c | 304.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed 1win | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 1win | 40c | 298.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.29 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Heroic | 59c | 289.01$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked 1win | 46c | 266.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Heroic | 55c | 262.96$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked 1win | 34c | 220.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed 1win | 58c | 214$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed 1win | 39c | 207.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Heroic | 57c | 201.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed 1win | 53c | 200.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…bb51backed 1win | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Heroic | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.58 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked 1win | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 1win | 36c | 197.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Heroic | 75c | 182.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed 1win | 41c | 180.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Heroic | 57c | 176.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed 1win | 28c | 176.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Heroic | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 74c | 158.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Heroic | 56c | 158$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed 1win | 44c | 158$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed 1win | 55c | 152.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed 1win | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed 1win | 21c | 146$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed 1win | 32c | 140$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…91b9backed 1win | 22c | 137.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Heroic | 80c | 125.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Heroic | 77c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed 1win | 58c | 125$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed 1win | 46c | 118$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b3…3160backed 1win | 26c | 112.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed Heroic | 47c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked 1win | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed Heroic | 56c | 105.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +4.9wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed 1win | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked 1win | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked 1win | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed 1win | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed Heroic | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Heroic | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed 1win | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.