NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1e64c54cc51e1040763e1f2ea8ecbaa27493b6b0ad9ce9540ba180f992b3051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,320,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,396,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,320,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060e…2384backed Bucks | 68c | 199,581$135,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,865.79 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 32c | 157,576$50,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,391.17 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Kings | 32c | 37,331$11,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,946.02 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 4c | 29,897$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.52 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Kings | 30c | 28,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Kings | 31c | 27,122$8,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,407.76 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings | 4c | 26,852$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.35 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 14c | 25,733$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.23 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Bucks | 70c | 24,915$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,414.9 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bucks | 77c | 24,300$18,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,527.15 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Bucks | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.99 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 2c | 19,214$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.9 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 0c | 16,943$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Kings | 32c | 15,005$4,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,801.6 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 30c | 12,779$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Kings | 5c | 11,928$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.94 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 29c | 11,639$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.98 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings | 1c | 11,563$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bucks | 70c | 10,020$7,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.95 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Kings | 1c | 10,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 75c | 9,937$7,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.19 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Kings | 1c | 8,259$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…00afbacked Kings | 30c | 8,134$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Kings | 26c | 8,000$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.9 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 11c | 7,612$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 71c | 7,313$5,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.74 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Kings | 32c | 7,282$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.22 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 70c | 7,180$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.59 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Kings | 15c | 7,002$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Kings | 24c | 6,306$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.27 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…95c3backed Kings | 2c | 6,305$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 201 | 46.3%93 W · 108 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Kings | 30c | 6,300$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.08 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Bucks | 70c | 6,300$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 0c | 6,224$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 68c | 5,963$4,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.17 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Kings | 3c | 5,658$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kings | 1c | 5,432$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Kings | 1c | 5,274$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Kings | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Bucks | 68c | 4,762$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.68 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Kings | 6c | 4,630$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.82 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Kings | 33c | 4,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 68c | 4,493$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 68c | 4,443$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…c249backed Kings | 32c | 4,177$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 7c | 4,050$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.94 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Kings | 20c | 4,037$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.47 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kings | 5c | 3,788$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.46 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1286…b60cbacked Kings | 30c | 3,701$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Kings | 31c | 3,638$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.13 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks | 69c | 3,623$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.19 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Kings | 31c | 3,558$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.2 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Bucks | 70c | 3,558$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.62 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kings | 2c | 3,394$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7a…3accbacked Kings | 1c | 3,335$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 25%47 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…c852backed Kings | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Kings | 18c | 3,331$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Bucks | 69c | 3,318$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.76 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…b73abacked Kings | 1c | 3,226$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Bucks | 68c | 3,223$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.45 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Kings | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Kings | 30c | 2,990$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.38 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Kings | 31c | 2,745$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.48 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 31c | 2,581$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Kings | 1c | 2,515$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Kings | 7c | 2,505$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.63 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bucks | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…71d2backed Bucks | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kings | 15c | 2,476$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.36 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Kings | 39c | 2,431$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.12 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Bucks | 69c | 2,109$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.86 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings | 33c | 2,061$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Kings | 31c | 2,031$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.61 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Kings | 29c | 2,030$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.99 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Kings | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…7aa1backed Bucks | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Kings | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5598…acb2backed Bucks | 71c | 1,908$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +226.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed Bucks | 69c | 1,875$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.36 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 8c | 1,794$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…bac9backed Kings | 1c | 1,732$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Bucks | 78c | 1,701$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.51 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…3d3ebacked Bucks | 68c | 1,676$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…4301backed Kings | 2c | 1,648$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…551bbacked Kings | 33c | 1,645$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169c…ced1backed Bucks | 71c | 1,640$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bucks | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…5b3ebacked Kings | 21c | 1,600$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.05 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Bucks | 75c | 1,589$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Kings | 32c | 1,565$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.84 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Kings | 1c | 1,560$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 471 | 34.2%161 W · 310 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Kings | 18c | 1,521$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.83 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb993…88c9backed Bucks | 68c | 1,496$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.72 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…77f7backed Kings | 32c | 1,496$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6257…bd72backed Bucks | 69c | 1,487$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.97 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99c3…2decbacked Bucks | 69c | 1,487$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7276…00c5backed Kings | 31c | 1,487$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ff…4e42backed Kings | 31c | 1,487$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Kingsthis page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
- Bucks vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.