NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44a461ebc2af9ad42262b7d571b935fadab23e65df4c03d8c183fa2adea54a1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,044,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,063,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,044,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Bucks | 52c | 874,392$451,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423,391.96 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 48c | 400,000$192,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 49c | 314,883$153,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153,377.38 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 49c | 50,378$24,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,681.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 49c | 46,665$22,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,873.76 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 50c | 35,605$17,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,919.78 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 47c | 23,462$11,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,104.7 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Bucks | 51c | 14,478$7,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,093.5 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 50c | 11,859$5,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,894.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Bucks | 50c | 10,159$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,111.8 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…883dbacked Kings | 49c | 9,197$4,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,506.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks | 53c | 7,516$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,516.35 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Kings | 49c | 7,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings | 49c | 7,000$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.44 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Kings | 50c | 4,486$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.12 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Bucks | 49c | 4,184$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.89 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bucks | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Bucks | 50c | 3,638$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.89 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Bucks | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Bucks | 52c | 2,564$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.73 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 42c | 2,510$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.25 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 49c | 2,328$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.44 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…686cbacked Bucks | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe971…350cbacked Bucks | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…2002backed Kings | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…309dbacked Kings | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Kings | 49c | 2,059$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.46 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Bucks | 49c | 1,996$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.91 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 73c | 1,520$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Kings | 50c | 1,424$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.21 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Kings | 50c | 1,411$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Kings | 4c | 1,378$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Kings | 49c | 1,295$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.5 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 51c | 1,146$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.46 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Kings | 52c | 1,138$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.92 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Bucks | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Bucks | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Kings | 43c | 862.9$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Bucks | 49c | 818.37$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.37 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Bucks | 50c | 692.44$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.79 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Bucks | 49c | 681.53$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.12 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Kings | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Kings | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Kings | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 48c | 541.8$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Kings | 49c | 510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 50c | 500.01$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.93 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Kings | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Kings | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Kings | 49c | 401.31$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bucks | 50c | 400.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Kings | 6c | 366.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Bucks | 50c | 362.22$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…9802backed Kings | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Bucks | 51c | 318.68$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.15 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Bucks | 50c | 318$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Bucks | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kings | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 50c | 242$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Kings | 52c | 231.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Bucks | 60c | 219$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Kings | 51c | 212.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Bucks | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Kings | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Kings | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a562backed Bucks | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Kings | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Kings | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…eaf6backed Kings | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…175fbacked Kings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Bucks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d3b6backed Bucks | 52c | 189.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Bucks | 51c | 176.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Kings | 57c | 175.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc1…648abacked Kings | 18c | 173.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Bucks | 49c | 158.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bucks | 59c | 151.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 55c | 147.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Bucks | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kings | 49c | 133.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Kings | 49c | 129.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bucks | 69c | 123.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks | 50c | 119.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Kings | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Bucks | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Kings | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 46c | 113.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Kings | 50c | 111.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Bucks | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Bucks | 50c | 100.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Kings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Kings | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Bucks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…e0cabacked Bucks | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
- Bucks vs. KingsBucks won
- Bucks vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.