NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Kings: O/U 228.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f8d4e07691943c1ffbcc488d2da63b8a6fa293f85e34bafeae80dd5704dc1ec

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $90,541
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $93,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,541 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a32…0086backed Under	50c	10,986$5,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,492.92	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	48c	9,595$4,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,628.8	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	48c	8,007$3,841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,841.36	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	52c	7,890$4,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,786.71	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Over	48c	5,772$2,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,769.91	446	48%214 W · 232 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under	52c	4,050$2,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,943.9	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	112	42%47 W · 65 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	51c	3,743$1,903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,840.41	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	51c	2,740$1,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,342.79	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Over	51c	2,223$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.56	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	50c	2,203$1,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,093.76	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39b8…e3dabacked Under	49c	2,180$1,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.8	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88d…796dbacked Over	51c	2,180$1,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,111.8	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2e…2ad2backed Under	49c	2,150$1,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,096.5	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x63e2…bb9bbacked Over	51c	2,150$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.5	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfb9…2396backed Over	51c	2,150$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.5	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c50…a2a9backed Under	49c	2,150$1,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,096.5	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e31…9dcabacked Under	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b6…da08backed Under	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,071	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc782…70eabacked Under	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba43…388cbacked Over	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.3wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4487…512fbacked Over	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd234…90b0backed Under	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb06d…7c03backed Over	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+4.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf04f…103dbacked Over	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+4.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf84b…3f64backed Under	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x845b…9041backed Over	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,071	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x185c…fa2fbacked Over	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…9120backed Over	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-30%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Under	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	132	60.6%80 W · 52 L	+14.0wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a61…92f4backed Over	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1869…30c8backed Under	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe7…7e7fbacked Under	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+3.2wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7258…b1dbbacked Under	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Over	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked Under	53c	1,738$913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$824.62	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	52c	1,714$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$826.23	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	51c	1,713$874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.48	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	53c	1,712$902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810.44	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Over	50c	1,515$758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757.5	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	49c	1,276$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.04	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Under	52c	1,103$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.44	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under	50c	1,100$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	560	43.9%246 W · 314 L	-31.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under	49c	613$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.63	406	48%195 W · 211 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	51c	519$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.31	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	51c	510.86$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.35	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under	50c	492.45$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.23	232	50.4%117 W · 115 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	49c	409.99$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.2	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb539…7c32backed Under	62c	403.21$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.22	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under	49c	400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	346	45.7%158 W · 188 L	+12.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	28c	389.07$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.46	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	52c	253.45$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.66	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a1c…aee9backed Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over	49c	200.08$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.04	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b0…5af4backed Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Over	48c	193.75$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	126	50%63 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under	52c	159.62$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.62	337	30.3%102 W · 235 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	54c	144.3$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.07	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Under	70c	120$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.2	127	66.9%85 W · 42 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	373	52%194 W · 179 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	141	27.7%39 W · 102 L	-16.4wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf400…1620backed Under	68c	100$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-4.0wins	-0.17per pick	61cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed Over	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under	52c	97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	245	56.3%138 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Over	48c	94.33$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.28	126	54%68 W · 58 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under	52c	93$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.64	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over	49c	71.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	377	55.7%210 W · 167 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	61c	69.91$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.99	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	68c	65.07$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.81	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over	47c	63.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.03	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over	29c	62.73$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	311	44.4%138 W · 173 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under	52c	55.76$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.76	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over	51c	55.44$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.27	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x049e…ed99backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	53c	45$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1725…7405backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x884c…851fbacked Over	39c	31.85$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	62	32.3%20 W · 42 L	-10.7wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under	75c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9105…1ae2backed Over	51c	29.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…0f55backed Over	51c	29.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Over	47c	28.83$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.55	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x570b…1263backed Over	51c	28.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c8…a2aabacked Over	51c	28.04$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf69b…617fbacked Over	51c	26.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc084…a34fbacked Over	47c	26.6$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x254f…2fb8backed Over	51c	26.27$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x709c…7347backed Over	51c	26.27$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	54c	26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.96	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb15…f4f8backed Over	50c	26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	82	54.9%45 W · 37 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7028…8512backed Over	51c	25.88$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bucks vs. Kings: O/U 228.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event