TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$664,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$667,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $664,684 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 610 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869b…c625backed No74c22,420$16,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,829.09650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaabf…21dbbacked Yes0c19,730$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.717256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6003253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa45…7e10backed Yes27c5,407$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a4…8156backed Yes27c5,007$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c4,676$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.844,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c10…4e33backed Yes27c4,209$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.43580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3bd…1d7bbacked Yes27c3,895$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe949…6b3ebacked Yes27c3,750$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf81d…ec3abacked Yes27c3,701$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc70a…4f26backed Yes27c3,648$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes25c3,493$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.6716740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes27c3,325$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.6317252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe834…a2dfbacked Yes27c3,230$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca6…fae8backed Yes27c3,139$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…8e7fbacked No73c3,113$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe779…4df4backed Yes27c3,040$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes24c3,003$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.0890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb4…0d87backed Yes27c2,843$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc01…65dcbacked No73c2,818$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes26c2,791$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.11,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5125…f8e3backed Yes27c2,772$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…c5e0backed No73c2,761$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0f…9bbabacked Yes27c2,749$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes25c2,713$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.353537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79c…6c09backed Yes27c2,678$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1749…5b57backed No73c2,641$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf449…1c52backed Yes27c2,640$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.8650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d4…202bbacked Yes27c2,621$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No74c2,575$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.39944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed4…19bfbacked Yes27c2,494$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.38580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…42edbacked No73c2,460$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51d…13d9backed No73c2,452$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2946…1e6cbacked No73c2,406$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81c2…cb74backed Yes27c2,405$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-16.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…2038backed Yes27c2,360$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ee…6eb4backed No73c2,355$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb306…ff19backed Yes27c2,335$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-16.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa06f…e831backed Yes27c2,311$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8d…7766backed No73c2,309$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8c…3926backed Yes27c2,286$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b4…c032backed No73c2,285$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8d…88abbacked Yes27c2,283$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-16.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd444…1bd3backed Yes27c2,260$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27a1…4744backed No73c2,226$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No75c2,200$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501090%9 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick72cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa626…dfbcbacked Yes27c2,154$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-16.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6e80…8879backed Yes27c2,153$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-16.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06d4…0245backed Yes27c2,151$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1a…0634backed No73c2,143$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.613100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b5…d836backed Yes27c2,087$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be0…b619backed No73c2,072$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.443100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0989…e55fbacked Yes27c2,050$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0620…57a2backed No73c2,037$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f0…ff95backed Yes27c2,012$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x484b…2e93backed Yes27c2,006$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-16.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcfbc…0680backed Yes27c2,004$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd879…073dbacked No73c1,998$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e8…d137backed No73c1,976$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3124…9285backed Yes27c1,975$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea1d…d9f1backed Yes27c1,965$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5fd…9f19backed Yes27c1,950$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e7…471cbacked Yes27c1,897$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec9f…69f9backed Yes27c1,897$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes21c1,886$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3923636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…79ccbacked Yes27c1,875$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf25b…7782backed Yes27c1,861$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5e…e57bbacked Yes27c1,846$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-16.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xab30…4649backed No73c1,835$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.453100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c1,832$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.8330634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ba…5681backed Yes27c1,802$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc219…3c8ebacked No73c1,802$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.543100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01af…5adcbacked Yes27c1,799$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4be…1300backed No73c1,798$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x567b…8dc3backed Yes27c1,783$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1168…abd7backed No73c1,756$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7111…0a34backed Yes27c1,738$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb49…444abacked Yes27c1,720$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…4035backed Yes27c1,713$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd61c…1e8cbacked Yes27c1,695$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x031f…faccbacked Yes27c1,686$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec93…1c4cbacked No73c1,677$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c86…f1f1backed No74c1,657$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.76475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1295…26f7backed Yes27c1,647$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…1b16backed Yes27c1,636$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf87…3337backed Yes27c1,617$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2916…a482backed No73c1,604$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Yes20c1,588$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.55933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4552…f7fcbacked Yes27c1,587$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-16.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No73c1,582$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.1425648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c7…0f8dbacked Yes27c1,568$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aef…fe98backed Yes27c1,564$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-16.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05df…be79backed No73c1,563$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8c…dd1cbacked No73c1,551$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f4…72bcbacked No73c1,548$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23ef…6e04backed No73c1,503$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b9…2efbbacked No73c1,460$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x143e…4159backed No73c1,454$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.585100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+50.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a0d…a014backed No73c1,430$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a26…96a1backed No73c1,405$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.