NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33fe62a59435ce83a8a32be1fb5b749628e3cdd87fd27d718f55bd27491c7db2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $350,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Flyers | 42c | 71,426$29,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,436.29 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 41c | 64,791$26,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,148.02 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 48,077$28,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,078.15 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Golden Knights | 58c | 29,895$17,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,204.1 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Golden Knights | 57c | 27,921$16,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,035.84 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Flyers | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flyers | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.95 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Golden Knights | 58c | 10,890$6,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,316.2 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Flyers | 33c | 8,968$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,008.86 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Golden Knights | 64c | 8,843$5,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,685.28 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc7…a83cbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 6,999$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,619.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Flyers | 34c | 6,777$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,472.52 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers | 35c | 6,500$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Golden Knights | 59c | 6,315$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.7 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Golden Knights | 65c | 5,874$3,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820.86 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Golden Knights | 59c | 5,400$3,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Golden Knights | 26c | 4,489$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.87 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flyers | 56c | 4,061$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.58 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Golden Knights | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Golden Knights | 60c | 3,645$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ada…8550backed Flyers | 34c | 3,600$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Flyers | 43c | 3,497$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.96 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Flyers | 34c | 3,156$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.75 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Golden Knights | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Golden Knights | 22c | 2,570$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.46 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1043…18ccbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.97 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Flyers | 55c | 2,423$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.04 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 2,415$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Golden Knights | 58c | 2,410$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.77 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 2,233$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.5 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 49c | 2,219$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.56 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Golden Knights | 58c | 2,100$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.99 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Golden Knights | 59c | 1,930$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.77 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,893$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.09 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 35c | 1,718$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.34 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…2a93backed Golden Knights | 67c | 1,709$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights | 26c | 1,539$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 1,530$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Golden Knights | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flyers | 34c | 1,404$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.48 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 49c | 1,285$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.69 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Golden Knights | 48c | 1,247$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.97 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Golden Knights | 59c | 1,237$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.83 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Flyers | 33c | 1,200$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,155$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Flyers | 34c | 1,124$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.84 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…3a2cbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights | 66c | 1,065$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.9 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,046$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.72 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flyers | 33c | 1,043$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.8 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Golden Knights | 32c | 1,008$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.58 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ca…5d8dbacked Flyers | 35c | 1,003$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Golden Knights | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…849ebacked Golden Knights | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Golden Knights | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae1…faefbacked Flyers | 33c | 999.95$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Flyers | 33c | 984.85$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Golden Knights | 66c | 969.7$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 964$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.24 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 55c | 958.91$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flyers | 33c | 952.14$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.45 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Golden Knights | 66c | 919.89$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.13 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Golden Knights | 45c | 912.47$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.44 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2194…2a53backed Flyers | 34c | 911.41$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 875$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.25 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 56c | 843.77$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.95 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 773.45$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.53 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Flyers | 36c | 765.53$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Golden Knights | 66c | 750$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Golden Knights | 65c | 750$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 734.52$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 57c | 722.67$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.46 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Golden Knights | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Flyers | 35c | 685.71$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.71 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…2f1ebacked Golden Knights | 66c | 677.67$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 629$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.26 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flyers | 33c | 628.56$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.35 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers | 35c | 601.75$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.48 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Flyers | 34c | 600$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…4f13backed Golden Knights | 66c | 589.09$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69d…ffefbacked Flyers | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Golden Knights | 26c | 569$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…ce8ebacked Flyers | 35c | 550$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Golden Knights | 52c | 531.84$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.46 | 273 | 57.5%157 W · 116 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Golden Knights | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Golden Knights | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Golden Knights | 35c | 492$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Golden Knights | 46c | 490$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights | 15c | 488.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Golden Knights | 46c | 479.92$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.72 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 470.36$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.37 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Flyers | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Golden Knights | 11c | 462.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Golden Knights | 47c | 455.21$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.46 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Flyers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.