TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No25c60,000$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,799.9831947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes42c13,880$5,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,050.630851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes62c3,829$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.256,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.959250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked No2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c1,157$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.024,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5605154.9%28 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes67c998$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.267042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes42c911.28$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.541,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffc5…1993backed No56c899.97$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes43c857$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.641,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No59c779.66$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4609749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Yes29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3553151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes42c492.64$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.621,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes64c379.85$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.81,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed No59c372.88$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked No78c369.19$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.978365.1%54 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes42c345$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.145751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes43c329.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.116453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c324.05$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.22,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No62c300.48$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.772,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98c4…f3e2backed No58c260.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.275141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes44c215.91$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9149544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed No57c203$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.713951.3%20 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+100.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed No15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30492%1 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-86.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked No15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30543.7%2 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-75.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f3…1d41backed Yes36c181.57$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+175.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e62…97aebacked No58c179$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No57c175.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes43c172.48$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.482951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8776…1ca3backed No59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa57…1e6bbacked No59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-54%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xaa1f…0ec8backed No59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No16c165.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1441344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked No58c140$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.25657.1%32 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes43c138$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.664052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No36c135.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0829041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6a…b19dbacked No59c135.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed Yes44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Yes24c121.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.962142.9%9 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Yes43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.47642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.418052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes43c113$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.415050%25 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes42c110.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2112448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb74d…9b2abacked No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15200%0 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab0f…bde4backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4b…846cbacked No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5729343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes16c98.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.337731.2%24 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5660…6cb7backed No59c97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.246533.8%22 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2442240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No57c90.19$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4114854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes23c88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.761,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9618444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bbd…e1f7backed No58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010757%61 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9412…730ebacked No58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes23c85.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7128531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No57c83.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7240157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes18c80.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.943241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No57c75.19$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8613844.9%62 W · 76 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa090…f998backed Yes29c65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+188.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Yes43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.143360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No56c53.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9113543.7%59 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed No57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d14…199dbacked No59c52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No57c51.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5710752.3%56 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc582…a75fbacked No59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes41c50.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6415452.6%81 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e85…d253backed No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.518251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes43c48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.363953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes43c47.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.379650%48 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c47.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.781,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes46c45.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6840150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed No57c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.512657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70a…6a5cbacked No57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+48.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a2f…420ebacked No55c39.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f77…f38dbacked No58c39.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb9f…1a5cbacked No58c36.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab2…5735backed No59c35.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.881353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed No58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208144.4%36 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed No58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206149.2%30 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes42c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.569849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.12040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.12352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf26c…3443backed No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11250%6 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11450%7 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…6974backed Yes43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.12045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c00…07b2backed Yes44c28.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No71c28.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9573258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked No57c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.961643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4773…d843backed No58c27.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9f…082bbacked No58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+53.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.