Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44d77f6697028004fec69dea60ee381465ae173899e0343dfacf42a38105d7ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 25c | 60,000$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,799.98 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 42c | 13,880$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050.6 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 3,829$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,157$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.02 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 67c | 998$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.2 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 42c | 911.28$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.54 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…1993backed No | 56c | 899.97$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 857$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.64 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 59c | 779.66$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 492.64$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 64c | 379.85$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed No | 59c | 372.88$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 78c | 369.19$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.97 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 42c | 345$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 43c | 329.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 324.05$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 300.48$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.77 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c4…f3e2backed No | 58c | 260.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 44c | 215.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed No | 57c | 203$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…1d41backed Yes | 36c | 181.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e62…97aebacked No | 58c | 179$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 57c | 175.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 43c | 172.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…1ca3backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…1e6bbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -54%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1f…0ec8backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 16c | 165.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked No | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 43c | 138$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 36c | 135.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked No | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Yes | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Yes | 24c | 121.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 43c | 113$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 42c | 110.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…bde4backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…846cbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 16c | 98.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…6cb7backed No | 59c | 97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 57c | 90.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbd…e1f7backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 23c | 85.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 57c | 83.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 18c | 80.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 57c | 75.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…f998backed Yes | 29c | 65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 56c | 53.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…199dbacked No | 59c | 52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 57c | 51.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…a75fbacked No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 41c | 50.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 43c | 47.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 47.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 46c | 45.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 57c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2f…420ebacked No | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f77…f38dbacked No | 58c | 39.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9f…1a5cbacked No | 58c | 36.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed No | 59c | 35.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6974backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…07b2backed Yes | 44c | 28.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 28.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked No | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…d843backed No | 58c | 27.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9f…082bbacked No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-19?this page
- Will Swansea City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.