Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8883d52b4d681937ec880af5890a144465a0bb2e6baab5fb4ab8fb7aa965f3b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 2,118$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 716.77$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.53 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 711.83$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.55 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 30c | 617.7$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.17 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 47c | 514$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.5 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 483.9$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 408.35$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 64c | 324.72$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…42d0backed Yes | 76c | 280$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 216.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 29c | 147$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 134$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Yes | 59c | 128$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 11c | 124.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 29c | 119$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Yes | 11c | 106$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 37c | 90.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 22c | 87.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 28c | 85.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…f998backed No | 43c | 84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 29c | 76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 71c | 69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Yes | 58c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9ebbbacked No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 73c | 43.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 39.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 38.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked No | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 70c | 37.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 72c | 33.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 41c | 33.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed No | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…07b2backed No | 71c | 17.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-19?Yes won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.