Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20818ad5eb335f91c76c24994ad204ad47c5c1563ad1aa9a497a0e166dcccf3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 3,328$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.28 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 45c | 2,327$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.53 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 30c | 1,670$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…150bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,628$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 1,145$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.43 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 992$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.15 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 826.88$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.53 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 30c | 780.11$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.03 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 764.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.47 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…d683backed No | 50c | 740.39$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee8…3352backed Yes | 51c | 683.61$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 590.56$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.26 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed No | 38c | 493.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.28 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked No | 48c | 414.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 56c | 411.22$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…1e17backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 28c | 293$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 7c | 258.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 50c | 207.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 168$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked Yes | 29c | 147.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 29c | 137.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 13c | 123$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 55c | 112.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 51c | 111.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 29c | 106.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 16c | 101.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 27c | 95.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked No | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Yes | 15c | 87.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 36c | 80.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 73c | 74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 28c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 29c | 72.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed0…4f26backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2893…75a8backed Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…128abacked Yes | 63c | 62.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…f8a6backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 29c | 51.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes | 52c | 44.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…e304backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…cc4fbacked Yes | 33c | 35.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 35.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed No | 46c | 28.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…07b2backed No | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-19?this page
- Will Swansea City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.