NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe432ab1912959558b2bfb97890fe8cde8f62b1d6b94b1bddcc18513ea72c89bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Senators, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,449,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,559,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,449,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Senators | 48c | 590,266$283,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283,319.26 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Red Wings | 54c | 487,924$262,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225,875.23 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Senators | 46c | 400,082$184,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184,358.78 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Senators | 46c | 225,734$103,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,539.08 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Red Wings | 54c | 213,600$115,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,256.06 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Senators | 48c | 122,609$58,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,356 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Red Wings | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,000 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Red Wings | 54c | 90,000$48,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,400 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Red Wings | 55c | 73,225$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,225.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Red Wings | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,799.95 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Red Wings | 52c | 59,998$31,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,799.11 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Senators | 46c | 54,000$24,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,839.87 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 52c | 53,859$27,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,933.2 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Senators | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,999.95 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 52c | 40,436$21,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,276.04 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Red Wings | 53c | 33,488$17,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,739.44 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Red Wings | 54c | 33,352$18,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,341.95 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Senators | 46c | 29,839$13,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,725.84 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings | 52c | 28,923$15,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,883.04 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Red Wings | 52c | 18,948$9,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,094.88 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Senators | 46c | 18,888$8,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,688.48 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Wings | 53c | 17,965$9,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,461.82 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Red Wings | 54c | 17,500$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Red Wings | 52c | 17,000$8,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Red Wings | 54c | 13,299$7,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,117.54 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Red Wings | 55c | 10,727$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,827.27 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 44c | 10,118$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.32 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Wings | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Red Wings | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.98 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2194…2a53backed Red Wings | 54c | 9,410$5,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Senators | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Senators | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Red Wings | 52c | 8,115$4,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.16 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…76e0backed Red Wings | 53c | 7,767$4,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Red Wings | 53c | 7,524$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.03 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 56c | 6,630$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.53 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Red Wings | 54c | 6,559$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.26 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Senators | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators | 44c | 6,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.97 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Senators | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Red Wings | 53c | 6,224$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.22 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Senators | 44c | 6,208$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.57 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Red Wings | 53c | 6,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Senators | 45c | 5,410$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.55 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 49c | 5,187$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.07 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings | 54c | 5,072$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.12 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Red Wings | 56c | 5,062$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.74 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Red Wings | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Senators | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Red Wings | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Senators | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Red Wings | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Senators | 61c | 4,861$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.52 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Red Wings | 57c | 4,616$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.29 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 55c | 4,520$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.39 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9373…4c6bbacked Red Wings | 54c | 4,325$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Red Wings | 53c | 4,116$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.01 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 45c | 4,052$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.54 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Senators | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Red Wings | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Red Wings | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Senators | 44c | 3,787$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.96 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings | 53c | 3,712$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.87 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Senators | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 46c | 3,480$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.8 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 52c | 3,252$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.02 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Red Wings | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Wings | 54c | 3,000$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Red Wings | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Senators | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Red Wings | 55c | 2,894$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.6 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Senators | 47c | 2,723$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.63 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Red Wings | 54c | 2,664$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.44 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Red Wings | 42c | 2,633$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.26 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13a…f97fbacked Red Wings | 40c | 2,520$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2df…94b9backed Red Wings | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Red Wings | 54c | 2,457$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Senators | 53c | 2,427$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.2 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Red Wings | 54c | 2,375$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.5 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Red Wings | 55c | 2,230$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.5 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Senators | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Red Wings | 53c | 2,000$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.98 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Red Wings | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Red Wings | 57c | 1,972$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Senators | 46c | 1,945$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,876$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.92 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…aa90backed Red Wings | 39c | 1,875$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Senators | 40c | 1,872$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.84 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,848$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.75 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb529…2a98backed Senators | 45c | 1,826$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,694$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.7 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Red Wings | 54c | 1,615$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.08 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,603$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.38 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…b227backed Senators | 49c | 1,599$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.37 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Senators | 36c | 1,590$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.6 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Red Wings | 45c | 1,571$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.93 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b07…5dc3backed Red Wings | 56c | 1,519$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Senators | 48c | 1,506$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.87 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.