NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15681abbe76e00c8f476f02850e8ebdae73491b0ec2dbc940c47943597fbd2ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 30,049$15,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,462.95 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 50c | 22,500$11,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,324.97 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…7b18backed Under | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…853cbacked Over | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 10,038$4,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,139.58 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 47c | 6,767$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.5 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17b…d0a7backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…0a52backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…645ebacked Over | 50c | 4,677$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 49c | 4,400$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9e6ebacked Under | 50c | 4,288$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 70c | 4,010$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.45 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8ed3backed Under | 50c | 3,878$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…42e3backed Under | 50c | 3,630$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…e020backed Under | 50c | 3,620$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 35c | 3,513$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.29 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…f69ebacked Under | 50c | 3,012$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe912…630abacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…3bd6backed Under | 50c | 2,687$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1e…c0b0backed Over | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…bc3ebacked Over | 50c | 2,187$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 49c | 2,150$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.45 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…cb33backed Over | 50c | 2,015$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd446…bb6fbacked Under | 50c | 1,722$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 1,541$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.37 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…7e78backed Under | 50c | 1,429$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 52c | 1,419$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.46 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa385…86e5backed Over | 50c | 1,402$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…b40dbacked Over | 50c | 1,208$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…b2b4backed Over | 50c | 1,066$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d71…95a7backed Over | 50c | 1,022$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ff…8389backed Over | 50c | 1,022$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5148…1c65backed Over | 50c | 1,005$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 65c | 981.95$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.68 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 16c | 781$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over | 48c | 696.89$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.38 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 638.36$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.95 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 614.1$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.47 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff43…5717backed Over | 50c | 611$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…9cbdbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 590.04$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.72 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 47c | 538.3$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 529$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.08 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307b…fe95backed Over | 50c | 522$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…7e55backed Over | 50c | 522$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…3cc7backed Under | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a5…81d3backed Over | 50c | 441$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Under | 24c | 433$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 32c | 370.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 53c | 333$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 315.73$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 53c | 270.53$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Over | 47c | 254.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…bc34backed Over | 50c | 244$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Under | 21c | 231.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 47c | 230$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 214.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 19c | 184.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…31bcbacked Under | 38c | 132.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…65cdbacked Over | 50c | 122$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 50c | 111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Under | 52c | 107.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Under | 41c | 107.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 47c | 99.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…8473backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Under | 34c | 88.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 54c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Over | 47c | 64.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 52c | 61.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Under | 33c | 60.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Under | 33c | 58.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Under | 54c | 57.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…c46dbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 52c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x572a…af69backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4f…3d87backed Under | 51c | 43.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 65c | 43.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 41.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 67c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…de7ebacked Under | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cba…9988backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Under | 54c | 21.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5this page
- Senators vs. Red WingsRed Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.