Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81176aae8278e23762ebe53489a1bc726928a448a8ffa50bcf9efd099c70e605

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nottingham Forest FCof Manchester City FC, Nottingham Forest FC
Resolved: Dec 27, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $225,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $224,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,670 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Manchester City FC	36c	63,681$23,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,225.38	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Manchester City FC	38c	48,780$18,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,500	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Nottingham Forest FC	68c	46,224$31,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,581.36	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nottingham Forest FC	62c	41,366$25,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,594.89	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nottingham Forest FC	69c	37,376$25,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,573.3	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Manchester City FC	36c	16,665$5,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.4	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nottingham Forest FC	63c	11,493$7,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,231.13	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec1…28bdbacked Manchester City FC	28c	10,258$2,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,829.35	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Nottingham Forest FC	63c	10,115$6,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,741.4	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Nottingham Forest FC	62c	7,644$4,726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,918.01	219	65.3%143 W · 76 L	+20.8wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+19%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Nottingham Forest FC	64c	5,610$3,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,009.57	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Manchester City FC	37c	5,476$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Manchester City FC	32c	5,388$1,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,733.83	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-3.8wins	-0.18per pick	42cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Manchester City FC	36c	5,200$1,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,872	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Nottingham Forest FC	64c	5,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,799.99	211	54.5%115 W · 96 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Manchester City FC	36c	2,799$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,021.08	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-10.6wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Manchester City FC	20c	2,500$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	88	58%51 W · 37 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Manchester City FC	36c	2,344$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.84	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Manchester City FC	23c	2,174$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nottingham Forest FC	62c	2,098$1,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$789.07	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Nottingham Forest FC	63c	2,000$1,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740	100	50%50 W · 50 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nottingham Forest FC	62c	1,694$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.72	245	66.1%162 W · 83 L	+24.5wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Nottingham Forest FC	66c	1,515$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.15	107	68.2%73 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7832…2bc2backed Manchester City FC	35c	1,429$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Manchester City FC	35c	1,288$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.77	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Manchester City FC	34c	1,267$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.83	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Manchester City FC	20c	1,250$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	1,223$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.51	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Manchester City FC	36c	1,200$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nottingham Forest FC	61c	1,194$728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.6	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Manchester City FC	43c	1,163$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.98	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2a…37f4backed Nottingham Forest FC	65c	1,087$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.59	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Manchester City FC	20c	1,005$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc140…4e98backed Manchester City FC	22c	957.91$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.74	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Manchester City FC	35c	949.78$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.42	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Manchester City FC	35c	857.14$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	38cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester City FC	36c	833.76$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	378	40.5%153 W · 225 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Nottingham Forest FC	64c	800$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Nottingham Forest FC	64c	800$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	369	56.9%210 W · 159 L	+20.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Nottingham Forest FC	64c	758.33$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273	109	56%61 W · 48 L	+10.2wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Manchester City FC	35c	694.29$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Manchester City FC	26c	658.62$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.04	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-8.5wins	-0.17per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Manchester City FC	35c	600$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	86	32.6%28 W · 58 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Manchester City FC	31c	574.27$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Manchester City FC	36c	555.56$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	240	47.5%114 W · 126 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a7…f58abacked Manchester City FC	38c	521.46$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Manchester City FC	35c	499.79$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.25	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Nottingham Forest FC	64c	463$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.68	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Manchester City FC	37c	432.43$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	417.64$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.37	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	413$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.81	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nottingham Forest FC	63c	400$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	834	59.4%495 W · 339 L	+25.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed Manchester City FC	20c	380$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.31per pick	42cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Manchester City FC	30c	354.33$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.01	50	28%14 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a44…6db6backed Manchester City FC	37c	340.03$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.81	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e4a…6589backed Manchester City FC	36c	333.33$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-46%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Nottingham Forest FC	64c	333$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.88	215	48.8%105 W · 110 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…cce7backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	315.6$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.77	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Manchester City FC	36c	313.89$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-7.9wins	-0.17per pick	56cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Manchester City FC	36c	300$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	300$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111	655	57.7%378 W · 277 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Nottingham Forest FC	63c	300$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111	599	58.9%353 W · 246 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Nottingham Forest FC	63c	300$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111	605	57.5%348 W · 257 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Nottingham Forest FC	64c	300$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	193	57.5%111 W · 82 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1834…a26abacked Manchester City FC	36c	286.02$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.58	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.23per pick	50cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1580…e76bbacked Manchester City FC	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Manchester City FC	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	27%24 W · 65 L	-11.9wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xaf17…9c04backed Manchester City FC	35c	285.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.93	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Manchester City FC	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Manchester City FC	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed Manchester City FC	36c	276.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.63	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Manchester City FC	36c	270.83$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Manchester City FC	38c	263.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	161	60.9%98 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Manchester City FC	37c	243.79$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.83	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed Manchester City FC	32c	240$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.4	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-7.9wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	240$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.8	351	57.8%203 W · 148 L	+18.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Nottingham Forest FC	78c	237.78$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.85	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6564…8846backed Manchester City FC	35c	231.17$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.91	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ef…fd79backed Manchester City FC	37c	227.95$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.34	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Nottingham Forest FC	65c	224.22$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.48	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Manchester City FC	36c	222.22$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	51	29.4%15 W · 36 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	217.57$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.5	375	57.3%215 W · 160 L	+21.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Nottingham Forest FC	64c	213.37$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.81	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Manchester City FC	13c	211$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.21	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Manchester City FC	8c	207.09$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.46	104	33.7%35 W · 69 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Manchester City FC	38c	202.63$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	360	36.1%130 W · 230 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Manchester City FC	30c	201.27$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.38	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	201$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.37	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked Manchester City FC	36c	200$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Manchester City FC	38c	200$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77ff…4ddebacked Manchester City FC	36c	200$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddf…814cbacked Manchester City FC	36c	194.44$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Manchester City FC	36c	194.44$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	181	24.9%45 W · 136 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	180$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.6	375	54.9%206 W · 169 L	+14.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	180$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.6	379	58%220 W · 159 L	+24.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	180$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.6	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbadb…6a54backed Manchester City FC	33c	169.7$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Manchester City FC	35c	165.71$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	150$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.5	255	53.7%137 W · 118 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Nottingham Forest FC	66c	150$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event