Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeac69562f2a713d865e09a4b3825f7f6415ba49d9e5e086dfd64ffe905964782
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 37c | 10,301$3,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.35 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 75c | 7,525$5,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.56 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 70c | 3,586$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.02 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 63c | 3,580$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.43 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 3,385$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.19 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 30c | 2,002$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.44 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 36c | 1,919$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.49 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Over | 31c | 1,833$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 62c | 1,679$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.62 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 63c | 1,650$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.5 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 1,537$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.45 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 70c | 1,285$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.4 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…5b24backed Under | 77c | 1,148$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 37c | 1,018$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.51 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 38c | 955.24$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.99 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 22c | 864.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.02 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 21c | 627.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 18c | 621.67$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Under | 69c | 435.52$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 75c | 399.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 30c | 310$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ad…69ccbacked Over | 4c | 249.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 65c | 218$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 35c | 188.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 15c | 171.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 65c | 169$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 64c | 155$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 64c | 144.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…61afbacked Under | 66c | 132.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dd…3139backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 65c | 113$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 65c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5585…dd3ebacked Over | 11c | 107.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…01b0backed Under | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 36c | 88.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 65c | 88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Over | 38c | 75.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Over | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…e578backed Under | 65c | 64.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…95ccbacked Over | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 64c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 65c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 65c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…73f0backed Over | 36c | 55.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…f424backed Under | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…6db6backed Over | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…6c8abacked Over | 33c | 45.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 36c | 39.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…12bdbacked Over | 36c | 30.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…6af4backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Under | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Under | 73c | 24.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…9881backed Under | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.