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Premier League · resolved market

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Yes41c4,263$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.334,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No52c3,941$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.657945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c3,208$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.646,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked No66c1,271$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.662070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked No44c1,140$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.614943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ed…b788backed No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes57c952.31$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.581,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No71c718.13$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.693450%17 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked No43c672.09$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2896241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeda1…8cd6backed No72c469.08$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No42c293.1$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.16137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No43c283.68$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9837342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Yes57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.167642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed No45c255$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.641,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505058%29 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed No43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed No44c226.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005228.8%15 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8610545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.418746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed No44c165$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.63748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed No44c165$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.64637%17 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed No44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.44949%24 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed No44c152$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.884257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Yes55c148.93$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.342470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed No43c136.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed No44c127$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.883953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Yes56c113$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.721464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes57c109.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3917849.4%88 W · 90 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes36c101.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.781,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4374256.9%422 W · 320 L+46.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf94…17aebacked Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Yes58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.971936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed No44c64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.164240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c28…28e3backed No45c62.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes57c60.41$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.982050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No33c59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1989152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed No45c55.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed No44c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.24341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2111048.2%53 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.512740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Yes56c46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.242860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…d867backed No44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No65c45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes57c44.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2622244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Yes56c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.483342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed No44c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.043366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Yes56c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.041450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Yes56c40.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9510552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Yes56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b73…a19dbacked Yes56c39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.161154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked No71c38.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Yes56c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.281040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Yes56c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.282470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked No44c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.44440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc518…bdecbacked Yes56c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.961154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked Yes56c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.961643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Yes56c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.962650%13 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca4…923dbacked No62c32.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6191…e505backed Yes56c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.082378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd816…84b9backed Yes40c31.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.753842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f96…92e0backed Yes56c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.641369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Yes56c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.641369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Yes57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.918449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.93158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7690…92cbbacked No44c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.761233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-48.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Yes56c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.881464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ee…f2d4backed No44c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.441457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33b7…c747backed Yes56c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Yes56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a1…be8bbacked Yes56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed Yes56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb665…95a8backed No44c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked Yes56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.681866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Yes56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.681553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bd…8deabacked Yes56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Yes56c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.361457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Yes56c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.362185.7%18 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+41.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e85…d253backed Yes56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.