Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08904acdafcac72ee51700a89d8a9a82770571631440ef331cb1b2dd2dc155e4

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 27, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $183,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $224,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,360 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2885…486cbacked Under	60c	18,000$10,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,720	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-6.7wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under	41c	16,000$6,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,559.97	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	47c	14,745$6,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,992.91	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over	59c	13,948$8,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,667.49	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	53c	12,998$6,882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,115.89	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	60c	10,249$6,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,142.64	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over	50c	8,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,000	110	29.1%32 W · 78 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	50c	6,957$3,451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,450.85	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under	41c	6,000$2,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,430	100	50%50 W · 50 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Under	1c	5,200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	115	57.4%66 W · 49 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under	42c	4,185$1,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,757.7	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	59c	2,900$1,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,188.87	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	54c	2,775$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,274.54	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	2,525$1,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,188.89	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	40c	2,489$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.5	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Over	54c	2,403$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,102.52	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	43c	2,068$883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$882.8	320	37.2%119 W · 201 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under	40c	2,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Over	51c	1,901$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940.28	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	40c	1,802$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.77	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under	40c	1,500$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under	44c	1,500$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	40c	1,500$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Over	76c	1,455$1,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.7	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc95…c60fbacked Under	41c	1,298$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.31	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under	45c	1,194$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.21	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Under	78c	1,127$879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.27	161	60.9%98 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over	60c	1,096$658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.36	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over	60c	1,050$627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.97	56	25%14 W · 42 L	-9.4wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Over	59c	1,000$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under	42c	999.99$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under	41c	999.97$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.99	266	51.1%136 W · 130 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	55c	915.18$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.78	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	59c	908.81$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.61	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Over	59c	850.1$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.54	46	65.2%30 W · 16 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f81…5394backed Over	60c	819.33$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.73	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Over	60c	789$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.6	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-6.3wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-16%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over	59c	779.27$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.5	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over	60c	750$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over	57c	611.46$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.19	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under	42c	476.19$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x655c…8fbfbacked Over	43c	465.35$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.35	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.22per pick	49cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Under	37c	454.48$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.23per pick	46cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	59c	440.68$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.68	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Under	31c	414.8$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	45cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Over	59c	413.25$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.43	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Over	60c	400$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	39c	388.59$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.02	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over	59c	338.97$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.98	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Under	51c	317.52$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under	40c	300$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under	40c	300$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	599	58.9%353 W · 246 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under	40c	300$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	605	57.5%348 W · 257 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under	41c	299.98$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.99	193	57.5%111 W · 82 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2322…82c0backed Under	71c	281.69$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	75cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a4…554abacked Over	60c	280$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	50c	264.48$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.45	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90d1…be02backed Over	59c	254.24$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.24	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6dd…3139backed Over	60c	246.67$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.67	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under	40c	240$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	375	57.3%215 W · 160 L	+21.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	62c	236.35$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.11	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over	61c	236.07$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.07	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-7.1wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed Over	62c	225.81$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.81	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under	42c	221$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.82	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under	42c	218$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.56	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Over	38c	200$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over	62c	200$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89bf…2c66backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over	49c	197.08$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.51	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bda…6c8abacked Over	54c	194.46$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.46	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ce…07adbacked Under	41c	187.95$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.06	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under	62c	187.42$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.9	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over	59c	187.27$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.78	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under	40c	180$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	375	54.9%206 W · 169 L	+14.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over	42c	178.71$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.65	80	30%24 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf1b…09aebacked Over	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-3.5wins	-0.35per pick	65cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under	42c	169$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.98	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over	60c	167$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.8	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-7.1wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over	61c	163.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	69c	145.51$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.51	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	48c	143.23$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.75	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	38c	143.06$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.79	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fb…70b1backed Under	36c	140.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	22cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd9…431dbacked Over	74c	138.71$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.71	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	76cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	39c	127.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.81	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under	40c	120$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	383	58.2%223 W · 160 L	+24.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x072a…0d8fbacked Under	47c	116.52$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f8…97b3backed Over	57c	101.75$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.75	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Under	42c	100.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.41	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Over	25c	100$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	58	65.5%38 W · 20 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under	42c	92$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.64	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Over	73c	90.4$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.41	40	60%24 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Under	42c	88$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.96	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6892…5b42backed Over	50c	85.78$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.78	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event